Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:09:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5c11…bd90
other · 4 markets active 1h ago
8.0score
+$102 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$141 · open −$40
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Net worth$5,187
Realized+$141
Unrealized−$40
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1 / 0
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1 / 4
History coverage5d
Avg bet$1,692
Trades / day2.1
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit25%
Chart Positions 3 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$141
14 days+$141
30 days+$141
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $3,780 $3,750 −$30 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? No 75¢ 74¢ $750 $745 −$5 (-1%)
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? No 76¢ 76¢ $696 $692 −$5 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $1,489 +$141 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 90% +$106
sports 10% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? BUY No 76¢ $1 50m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $255 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $382 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $2,548 1h
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? BUY No 91¢ $91 2d
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? BUY No 91¢ $1,192 2d
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $637 2d
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? BUY No 91¢ $206 3d
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? BUY No 76¢ $700 4d
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 75¢ $756 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-0.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +9.5% -0.9% 100% 0% -0.9%
≤30d 1 +9.5% -0.9% 100% 0% -0.9%
≤90d 1 +9.5% -0.9% 100% 0% -0.9%
all 1 +9.5% -0.9% 100% 0% -0.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -0.9% 0% -0.9%
10% -10.4% 0% -10.4%
15% -19.1% 0% -19.1%
20% -27.0% 0% -27.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,186.80 · official $5,186.80 (match) · 11 history records