trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 63¢ | 62¢ | $3,780 | $3,750 | −$30 (-1%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | No | 75¢ | 74¢ | $750 | $745 | −$5 (-1%) |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | No | 76¢ | 76¢ | $696 | $692 | −$5 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? | Jun 10 | $1,489 | +$141 | +10% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | BUY No | 76¢ | $1 | 50m |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 63¢ | $255 | 1h |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 63¢ | $382 | 1h |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 63¢ | $2,548 | 1h |
| Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? | BUY No | 91¢ | $91 | 2d |
| Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? | BUY No | 91¢ | $1,192 | 2d |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 63¢ | $637 | 2d |
| Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? | BUY No | 91¢ | $206 | 3d |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | BUY No | 76¢ | $700 | 4d |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | BUY No | 75¢ | $756 | 4d |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +9.5% | -0.9% | 100% | 0% | -0.9% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +9.5% | -0.9% | 100% | 0% | -0.9% |
| ≤90d | 1 | +9.5% | -0.9% | 100% | 0% | -0.9% |
| all | 1 | +9.5% | -0.9% | 100% | 0% | -0.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -0.9% | 0% | -0.9% |
| 10% | -10.4% | 0% | -10.4% |
| 15% | -19.1% | 0% | -19.1% |
| 20% | -27.0% | 0% | -27.0% |