Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:14:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5c0a…ef0f
crypto · 45 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$184 -35%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$184 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$184
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)16%
Wins / losses7 / 37
Open positions1
Markets (closed)44 / 45
History coverage1d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day75.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 44 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$184
7 days−$184
14 days−$184
30 days−$184
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$48 +908%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$6 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$11 +214%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$37 +351%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$25 +240%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $42 +$106 +250%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$184
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $54 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $5 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-38.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 -31.6% -38.1% 16% 16% -41.8%
≤30d 44 -31.6% -38.1% 16% 16% -41.8%
≤90d 44 -31.6% -38.1% 16% 16% -41.8%
all 44 -31.6% -38.1% 16% 16% -41.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover75.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -38.1% 16% -41.8%
10% ← realistic here -44.0% 16% -47.4%
15% -49.4% 16% -52.5%
20% -54.4% 11% -57.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.90 · official $1.90 (match) · 94 history records