Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:16:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5bff…ffbe
sports · 127 markets active 6d ago
0.0score
−$108,089 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$108,089 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$108,089
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses68 / 82
Whale WR (big bets)68%
Est. fees paid−$2,463
Open positions0
Markets (closed)150 / 127
History coverage81d
Avg bet$136,291
Trades / day39.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 0 History 150 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$543,774
7 days+$26,571
14 days+$65,275
30 days+$66,242
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 DN SOOPers 35¢ 0¢ $246 $0 −$246 (-100%)
Infinex FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes 63¢ 0¢ $972 $0 −$972 (-100%)
LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 - Game 2 Winner 100 Thieves 16¢ 0¢ $2,771 $0 −$2,771 (-100%)
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $101,488 $0 −$101,488 (-100%)
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 166.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Hanwha Life Esports 51¢ 0¢ $913 $0 −$913 (-100%)
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhorns North Carolina State Wolfpack 46¢ 0¢ $278 $0 −$278 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Top Esports 45¢ 0¢ $2,761 $0 −$2,761 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 68¢ 0¢ $671 $0 −$671 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) Gen.G 46¢ 0¢ $10,008 $0 −$10,008 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 57¢ 0¢ $1,011 $0 −$1,011 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 59¢ 0¢ $2,744 $0 −$2,744 (-100%)
Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-1.5) North Carolina State Wolfpack 48¢ 0¢ $488 $0 −$488 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 82¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Weibo Gaming 26¢ 0¢ $1,522 $0 −$1,522 (-100%)
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $1,921 $0 −$1,921 (-100%)
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan China 24¢ 0¢ $1,337 $0 −$1,337 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs Gen.G 82¢ 0¢ $104 $0 −$104 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 41¢ 0¢ $4,995 $0 −$4,995 (-100%)
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 154.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 158.5 Under 50¢ 0¢ $853 $0 −$853 (-100%)
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner Invictus Gaming 31¢ 0¢ $1,715 $0 −$1,715 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26? No 48¢ 0¢ $483 $0 −$483 (-100%)
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 159.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Infinex FDV above $400M one day after launch? Jun 12 $972 −$972 -100%
LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $2,771 −$2,806 -101%
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? Jun 12 $101,488 −$244,908 -241%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) Jun 12 $10,008 −$12,273 -123%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $2,744 −$2,744 -100%
Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-1.5) Jun 12 $488 −$477 -98%
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan Jun 12 $1,337 −$1,337 -100%
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26? Jun 12 $483 −$460 -95%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) Jun 12 $471 −$471 -100%
LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3) Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3) Jun 12 $150 −$150 -100%
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy A Jun 12 $282 −$282 -100%
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26? Jun 12 $8,822 −$8,822 -100%
LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $107 −$107 -100%
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-10-26? Jun 12 $4,243 −$4,243 -100%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? Jun 12 $34,400 −$118,686 -345%
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? Jun 12 $101,487 −$116,760 -115%
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Rese Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Alan Keating be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Jun 12 $574 −$574 -100%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? Jun 12 $1,683 −$1,032 -61%
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? Jun 12 $5,385 −$26,639 -495%
Will Real Madrid vs. Barcelona end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 07 $10,832,010 +$323,871 +3%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Jun 07 $23,434 +$16,711 +71%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 07 $5,420 +$17 +0%
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? Jun 07 $3,794 +$2,024 +53%
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Jun 07 $4,944 +$851 +17%
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? Jun 07 $1,796 +$884 +49%
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Jun 07 $4,099 −$558 -14%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Jun 07 $20,517 +$30 +0%
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Jun 07 $21,905 +$391 +2%
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Jun 07 $133,495 +$2,968 +2%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Jun 07 $154,947 +$223,155 +144%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $40,560 +$37,440 +92%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? May 30 $40,474 +$1,263 +3%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 27 $5,028 −$4,995 -99%
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? May 14 $20,049 +$833 +4%
Will Trump visit China by May 31? May 13 $11,150 +$5,129 +46%
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 06 $2,761 −$2,761 -100%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) May 04 $4,582 +$3,522 +77%
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner May 04 $4,001 +$1,334 +33%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 03 $12,351 −$12,351 -100%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner May 02 $1,715 −$1,715 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 02 $1,649 +$528 +32%
Will Trump visit China by April 30? May 01 $186,691 +$13,714 +7%
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? May 01 $137,583 +$150 +0%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee Apr 30 $253,270 +$766 +0%
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 28 $75,391 −$175 -0%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 28 $105 −$3 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 75% +$348,586
sports 18% −$177,771
economics 3% +$2,307
politics 2% +$19,869
other 2% +$236,289
finance 0% +$6,405
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 93¢ $3 5d
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? SELL No 83¢ $705 5d
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $2,029 5d
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL Yes 5¢ $5,438 5d
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? SELL No 59¢ $5,818 5d
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? SELL No 52¢ $5,794 5d
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? SELL No 35¢ $2,680 5d
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? SELL No 31¢ $2,781 5d
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? SELL No 24¢ $3,066 5d
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? SELL No 24¢ $475 5d
Will GameStop acquire eBay? SELL No 85¢ $20,547 5d
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? SELL No 84¢ $19,608 5d
Xi Jinping out before 2027? SELL No 93¢ $22,296 5d
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $69,209 5d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 86¢ $76,065 5d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 86¢ $114,341 5d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $23,328 5d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 93¢ $6 5d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 93¢ $12 5d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 93¢ $5 5d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 93¢ $12 5d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 93¢ $5 5d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 93¢ $12 5d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 93¢ $12 5d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 93¢ $6 5d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 93¢ $7 5d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 93¢ $12 5d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 93¢ $6 5d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 93¢ $12 5d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 93¢ $9 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 -56.5% -60.6% 30% 15% -7.2%
≤30d 38 -47.9% -52.8% 37% 18% -6.9%
≤90d 150 -7.9% -16.7% 45% 25% -8.6%
all 150 -7.9% -16.7% 45% 25% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.2 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.7% 25% -8.6%
10% -24.7% 19% -17.3%
15% ← realistic here -32.0% 17% -25.3%
20% -38.6% 13% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records