Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:23:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5bdf…3a19
sports · 86 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$54 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$55 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$55
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses49 / 36
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions1
Markets (closed)85 / 86
History coverage139d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 1 History 85 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$25
7 days−$35
14 days+$15
30 days+$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 84¢ 94¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+11%)
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Shelton (+2.5) Shelton 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Marta Kostyuk 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5 Under 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Qatar Total Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Elina Svitolina Svitolina 70¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Anna Kalinskaya vs. Maja Chwalinska: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Gabriela Ruse vs Dayana Yastremska Dayana Yastremska 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Maja Chwalinska 13¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Transylvania Open: Emma Raducanu vs Oleksandra Oliynykova Oliynykova 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Qatar Total Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elise Mertens Mertens 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Yulia Putintseva vs. Marta Kostyuk: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra Andreeva Hailey Baptiste 26¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5 Over 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Marta Kostyuk vs Veronika Podrez Veronika Podrez 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Dayana Yastremska 27¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Sierra vs. Kalinina: Match O/U 21.5 Over 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-10? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Pegula vs. Anisimova: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Daria Snigur vs. Robin Montgomery: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 40¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Qatar Total Open: Camila Osorio vs Katerina Siniakova Siniakova 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Mirra Andreeva Leylah Fernandez 16¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10? Yes 65¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Daria Snigur vs. Robin Montgomery: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $15 −$15 -98%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $19 −$19 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$9 +172%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $5 +$10 +188%
HSBC Championships: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Marta Kostyuk Jun 10 $40 −$17 -41%
Ilkley: Veronika Podrez vs Tatiana Prozorova Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $8 −$8 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 04 $10 −$10 -98%
Set 1 Winner: Kostyuk vs Andreeva Jun 04 $5 −$5 -99%
Anna Kalinskaya vs. Maja Chwalinska: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 03 $3 −$3 -99%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk Jun 02 $40 +$32 +79%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic May 31 $37 +$28 +77%
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Kostyuk (+1.5) May 31 $20 +$17 +86%
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $60 −$59 -98%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09? May 09 $80 −$79 -98%
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5 May 09 $10 −$10 -99%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Simona Waltert vs Hailey Baptiste May 08 $5 +$7 +140%
Set Handicap: Tauson (-1.5) vs Oliynykova (+1.5) May 08 $30 −$8 -25%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Simona Waltert May 07 $5 +$6 +119%
Sierra vs. Kalinina: Match O/U 21.5 May 07 $10 −$10 -98%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? May 06 $39 −$38 -99%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Anhelina Kalinina vs Katie May 05 $15 +$8 +52%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Petra Marcinko vs Oleksandra Oliynykova May 05 $13 +$16 +124%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Noemi Basiletti vs Daria S May 05 $10 +$2 +17%
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5 May 04 $5 −$5 -99%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Camila Osorio vs Anhelina May 04 $10 +$8 +86%
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score May 04 $44 +$21 +48%
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyuk May 03 $38 +$45 +119%
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra Andreeva Apr 30 $29 −$28 -98%
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 Apr 30 $10 +$7 +70%
Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova Apr 30 $33 +$18 +52%
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Baptiste (+1.5) Apr 29 $3 +$7 +206%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? Apr 28 $15 −$15 -98%
Madrid Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Mirra Andreeva Apr 28 $6 −$6 -98%
Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Hailey Baptiste Apr 28 $9 +$8 +86%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27? Apr 28 $20 +$20 +101%
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26? Apr 27 $20 +$9 +44%
Madrid Open: Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyuk Apr 26 $1 −$1 -98%
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score Apr 25 $23 +$12 +52%
Yulia Putintseva vs. Marta Kostyuk: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Apr 24 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-22? Apr 23 $53 +$10 +18%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21? Apr 22 $43 +$10 +24%
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Marta Kostyuk vs Veronika Podrez Apr 19 $2 −$2 -97%
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Veronika Podrez vs Sorana Cirstea Apr 19 $5 $0 -2%
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? Apr 18 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13? Apr 13 $35 −$34 -98%
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? Apr 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? Apr 09 $14 +$12 +86%
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Gabriela Ruse vs Dayana Yastremska Apr 08 $10 −$10 -99%
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Dayana Yastremska vs Ann Li Apr 08 $10 +$6 +65%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 66% +$111
other 33% −$174
world 2% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 84¢ $9 1h
Daria Snigur vs. Robin Montgomery: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Over 2.5 40¢ $15 31h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Dayana Yastremska 7¢ $1 32h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Dayana Yastremska 10¢ $3 32h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Dayana Yastremska 49¢ $5 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 36¢ $5 2d
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Dayana Yastremska 59¢ $10 2d
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur SELL Daria Snigur 100¢ $15 2d
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur BUY Daria Snigur 34¢ $5 2d
HSBC Championships: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Marta Kostyuk BUY Marta Kostyuk 85¢ $40 4d
Ilkley: Veronika Podrez vs Tatiana Prozorova BUY Veronika Podrez 35¢ $3 5d
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva BUY Maja Chwalinska 8¢ $3 7d
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva BUY Maja Chwalinska 19¢ $5 7d
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva BUY Marta Kostyuk 20¢ $10 9d
Set 1 Winner: Kostyuk vs Andreeva BUY Kostyuk 53¢ $5 9d
Anna Kalinskaya vs. Maja Chwalinska: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Over 2.5 53¢ $3 10d
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk BUY Marta Kostyuk 55¢ $40 11d
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic BUY Elina Svitolina 51¢ $10 13d
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic BUY Elina Svitolina 49¢ $10 13d
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic BUY Elina Svitolina 65¢ $17 13d
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Kostyuk (+1.5) SELL Kostyuk 100¢ $37 13d
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Kostyuk (+1.5) BUY Kostyuk 53¢ $20 13d
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-10? BUY Yes 41¢ $60 34d
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09? BUY Yes 46¢ $80 35d
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 61¢ $10 35d
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Simona Waltert vs Hailey Baptiste BUY Hailey Baptiste 41¢ $5 36d
Sierra vs. Kalinina: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 47¢ $10 37d
Set Handicap: Tauson (-1.5) vs Oliynykova (+1.5) BUY Oliynykova 66¢ $30 37d
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? BUY Yes 61¢ $39 38d
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Simona Waltert BUY Simona Waltert 45¢ $5 38d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-5.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +3.2% -6.7% 33% 33% -46.2%
≤30d 13 -10.7% -19.2% 38% 38% -2.9%
≤90d 53 -0.2% -9.7% 51% 51% -14.1%
all 85 +5.0% -5.0% 58% 58% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.0% 58% -13.7%
10% -14.1% 51% -21.9%
15% -22.4% 46% -29.5%
20% -30.0% 38% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.02 · official $10.02 (match) · 153 history records