Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:39:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5bde…7d9a
crypto · 890 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$44 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$82 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$82
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses621 / 277
Open positions1
Markets (closed)898 / 890
History coverage14d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day189.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 898 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$47
7 days−$85
14 days−$82
30 days−$82
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 47¢ 52¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 0¢ 48¢ $0 $5 +$5 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$3 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$3 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$67
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $8 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $0 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $7 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $7 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 381 -4.3% -13.4% 52% 15% -11.3%
≤30d 898 -2.0% -11.3% 69% 8% -10.2%
≤90d 898 -2.0% -11.3% 69% 8% -10.2%
all 898 -2.0% -11.3% 69% 8% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover189.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 8% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 4% -18.8%
15% -27.6% 3% -26.6%
20% -34.7% 3% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.00 · official $10.00 (match) · 3500 history records