Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:10:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5bcb…374b
other · 281 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$170 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$150 · open −$18
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$198
Realized−$150
Unrealized−$18
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses126 / 140
Est. fees paid−$47
Open positions14
Markets (closed)266 / 281
History coverage159d
Avg bet$43
Trades / day3.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit53%
Chart Positions 14 History 266 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$62
7 days+$346
14 days−$61
30 days−$181
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $28 $28 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 16¢ 16¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+4%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Over 59¢ 60¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Spain (-2.5) Spain 52¢ 52¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Brazil 59¢ 56¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-4%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 Over 65¢ 64¢ $13 $13 −$0 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 12¢ 12¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+4%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 48¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Yes 53¢ 52¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? Yes 44¢ 44¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 4¢ 1¢ $10 $3 −$7 (-69%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$11 +105%
United States to score first vs. Paraguay? Jun 13 $10 +$7 +68%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$20 +197%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06- Jun 12 $10 +$27 +263%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $10 +$6 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$39 +268%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $10 +$4 +42%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$4 +43%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $20 +$11 +55%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $20 +$23 +114%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $20 +$20 +101%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Will América FC vs. AC Goianiense end in a draw? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $17 −$17 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $25 +$94 +371%
Will SC Recife win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $20 +$17 +86%
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $10 +$24 +234%
Will Cuiabá EC win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $10 +$14 +139%
Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $20 +$13 +62%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $30 +$28 +93%
Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $376 +$90 +24%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $50 +$6 +13%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $10 +$5 +46%
Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $15 +$15 +101%
Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $10 +$43 +423%
Will CR Brasil win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $10 +$10 +98%
Morocco vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score Jun 07 $4 +$3 +73%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 07 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $50 +$15 +31%
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $20 +$14 +67%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Wales win on 2026-06-02? Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: France (-2.5) Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Haiti vs. New Zealand end in a draw? Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 64% +$375
sports 26% −$157
crypto 8% −$380
culture 2% +$4
world 0% +$2
politics 0% −$7
tech 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 6m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 12¢ $10 19m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 10¢ $10 20m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $10 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $30 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 59¢ $20 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY 53¢ $15 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 39¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 28¢ $10 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $21 16h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 46¢ $10 16h
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals BUY Yes 27¢ $5 17h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 17h
United States to score first vs. Paraguay? SELL Yes 99¢ $17 17h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $10 18h
United States to score first vs. Paraguay? BUY Yes 58¢ $10 18h
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) BUY Brazil 59¢ $20 21h
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 44¢ $10 21h
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 53¢ $10 21h
Spread: Spain (-2.5) BUY Spain 52¢ $20 21h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 65¢ $13 21h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $30 21h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $10 22h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $5 29h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 29h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $20 29h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 99¢ $16 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $54 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $4 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $10 39h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 +23.0% +11.3% 55% 55% +20.9%
≤30d 194 -2.1% -11.4% 48% 46% -11.5%
≤90d 219 -7.0% -15.9% 46% 44% -14.1%
all 266 -6.8% -15.7% 47% 46% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.7% 46% -10.7%
10% -23.8% 44% -19.2%
15% -31.1% 39% -27.0%
20% -37.9% 33% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $198.40 · official $213.41 · 731 history records