trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -98.6% | -98.7% | 0% | 0% | -98.7% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -98.6% | -98.7% | 0% | 0% | -98.7% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -99.6% | -99.7% | 0% | 0% | -99.8% |
| all | 23 | -6.4% | -15.3% | 26% | 26% | +2.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.3% | 26% | +2.9% |
| 10% | -23.4% | 26% | -7.0% |
| 15% | -30.8% | 26% | -15.9% |
| 20% | -37.6% | 26% | -24.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 42¢ | 0¢ | $197 | $1 | −$197 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 26 | $41 | −$39 | -96% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? | Apr 29 | $62 | −$60 | -97% |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-26? | Apr 26 | $60 | −$59 | -98% |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-26? | Apr 26 | $150 | −$147 | -98% |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-08? | Mar 22 | $100 | +$233 | +233% |
| Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-22? | Mar 22 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-25? | Jan 25 | $98 | −$98 | -100% |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-15? | Jan 15 | $95 | +$404 | +426% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | Jan 14 | $72 | −$72 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | Jan 14 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? | Jan 12 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | Jan 12 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 12 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 4? | Dec 20 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Dec 16 | $100 | −$56 | -56% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Nov 25 | $120 | +$272 | +227% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025? | Nov 25 | $200 | −$22 | -11% |
| Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-23? | Nov 25 | $100 | +$285 | +285% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 20 | Nov 21 | $100 | +$156 | +156% |
| Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair? | Nov 20 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26? | Nov 20 | $200 | +$185 | +92% |
| Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-28? | Oct 28 | $143 | −$143 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? | Jun 30 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |