trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 20 | -60.5% | -64.3% | 30% | 25% | -37.9% |
| ≤30d | 20 | -60.5% | -64.3% | 30% | 25% | -37.9% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -60.5% | -64.3% | 30% | 25% | -37.9% |
| all | 20 | -60.5% | -64.3% | 30% | 25% | -37.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -64.3% | 25% | -37.9% |
| 10% | -67.7% | 10% | -43.8% |
| 15% | -70.8% | 10% | -49.3% |
| 20% | -73.7% | 5% | -54.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 15¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-14%) |
| Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match? | No | 73¢ | 38¢ | $1 | $1 | −$1 (-47%) |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30? | No | 55¢ | 9¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-84%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on June 16? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-99%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on June 16? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 14? | Jun 16 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or below on June 14? | Jun 16 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on June 14? | Jun 16 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on June 14? | Jun 16 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 14? | Jun 16 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 14? | Jun 16 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 14? | Jun 16 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 14? | Jun 16 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 14? | Jun 16 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 16? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -56% |
| Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $2 | $0 | +15% |
| Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +14% |
| Will Trump attend 2 World Cup matches? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 14? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$2 | -114% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $2 | +$1 | +53% |
| President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Mexico to score first vs. South Africa? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +38% |
| Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 11 | $2 | $0 | +18% |