Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:07:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5bb4…f3a4
sports · 1261 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$7 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$17 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$283
Realized+$17
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses857 / 374
Est. fees paid−$72
Open positions30
Markets (closed)1231 / 1261
History coverage36d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day62.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 30 History 1231 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days+$144
14 days+$80
30 days+$49
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 80¢ 80¢ $53 $53 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? No 89¢ 90¢ $14 $14 +$0 (+2%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5 Under 78¢ 83¢ $13 $13 +$1 (+7%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? No 88¢ 88¢ $13 $13 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? No 87¢ 79¢ $14 $13 −$1 (-10%)
Boxing: Tommy Fury vs. Eddie Hall Fury 70¢ 60¢ $14 $12 −$2 (-15%)
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Morocco 80¢ 83¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+4%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 78¢ 84¢ $8 $9 +$1 (+8%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 75¢ 100¢ $7 $9 +$2 (+33%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? No 74¢ 72¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-2%)
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Morocco? No 90¢ 100¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+11%)
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? No 90¢ 100¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+11%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 Under 57¢ 56¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? No 92¢ 97¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+6%)
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? No 87¢ 89¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+2%)
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? No 90¢ 91¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+1%)
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Türkiye? No 92¢ 93¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+1%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? No 87¢ 88¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+1%)
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? No 87¢ 88¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+1%)
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? No 88¢ 89¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland? No 92¢ 92¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? No 89¢ 89¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+0%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Under 68¢ 68¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? No 87¢ 78¢ $7 $6 −$1 (-10%)
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 69¢ 71¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $18 −$2 -12%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $14 −$5 -34%
Olimpia Milano vs. Reyer Venezia Jun 13 $14 +$2 +12%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $7 +$1 +9%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $21 −$3 -16%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $7 +$2 +25%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $7 +$1 +11%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $7 +$2 +27%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $14 −$1 -7%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand Jun 13 $35 −$10 -27%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $21 −$5 -26%
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P Jun 13 $7 +$1 +9%
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Pr Jun 13 $7 +$1 +12%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa Jun 13 $56 +$3 +5%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 13 $28 +$1 +3%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland Jun 13 $14 +$4 +26%
Set 1 Winner: Raducanu vs Rakhimova Jun 13 $6 +$1 +11%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Jun 13 $7 +$3 +44%
Set 1 Winner: Krejcikova vs Linette Jun 13 $7 +$1 +15%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $16 +$4 +28%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $9 +$3 +35%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $9 +$2 +26%
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $9 +$2 +24%
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $7 +$1 +11%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $18 $0 -1%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $49 −$6 -12%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $7 +$1 +12%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $9 +$4 +44%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $24 −$1 -4%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $27 +$1 +5%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 13 $14 $0 +3%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $14 $0 -4%
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics Jun 13 $14 −$1 -6%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $14 +$2 +12%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $6 −$6 -99%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $14 −$6 -45%
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin Jun 12 $7 +$2 +27%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $28 −$6 -22%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $7 +$2 +27%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $7 +$1 +12%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $11 +$2 +16%
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $7 +$1 +18%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $21 +$2 +10%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $7 +$1 +11%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $7 +$1 +12%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $4 +$4 +111%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $7 +$1 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 70% +$54
other 27% −$55
politics 2% +$10
world 0% −$1
crypto 0% −$1
culture 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Boxing: Tommy Fury vs. Eddie Hall BUY Fury 70¢ $7 8m
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 77¢ $4 10m
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 78¢ $9 11m
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? BUY No 92¢ $7 13m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 78¢ $8 15m
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? BUY No 87¢ $7 18m
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 88¢ $7 24m
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? BUY No 87¢ $7 25m
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? BUY No 90¢ $7 29m
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Morocco 80¢ $9 32m
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 87¢ $7 39m
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Morocco? BUY No 90¢ $7 39m
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 90¢ $1 42m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 75¢ $7 42m
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 90¢ $6 42m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 66¢ $16 42m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 73¢ $9 43m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 74¢ $9 43m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 68¢ $9 43m
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? BUY No 89¢ $7 1h
Boxing: Tommy Fury vs. Eddie Hall BUY Fury 70¢ $7 1h
Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5) BUY Seattle Mariners 70¢ $0 1h
Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5) BUY Seattle Mariners 70¢ $9 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Corners SELL Under 66¢ $13 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 70¢ $7 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY No 92¢ $7 2h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? BUY Yes 72¢ $7 2h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? BUY No 91¢ $7 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 68¢ $7 2h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY Yes 80¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 415 +6.1% -4.0% 72% 63% -6.4%
≤30d 1102 +0.7% -8.9% 69% 59% -8.9%
≤90d 1231 +0.3% -9.3% 70% 59% -9.3%
all 1231 +0.3% -9.3% 70% 59% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover62.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 59% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -17.9% 44% -17.9%
15% -25.9% 29% -25.9%
20% -33.1% 17% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $283.15 · official $283.02 (match) · 3056 history records