Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:39:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5b9f…3943
crypto · 103 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$139 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$139 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$139
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses57 / 46
Open positions0
Markets (closed)103 / 103
History coverage3d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day36.7
Drawdown79%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 103 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$166
7 days+$139
14 days+$139
30 days+$139
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $112 $0 −$112 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$16 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$10 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$6 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$6 +225%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $116 −$112 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 10 $99 +$19 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 10 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 10 $230 −$216 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 10 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 10 $104 +$55 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 10 $104 +$78 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 10 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 10 $152 +$104 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 10 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $52 +$25 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 10 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $105 +$117 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 10 $82 −$78 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 10 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 10 $21 +$66 +309%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $21 +$14 +69%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$139
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $19 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $13 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $11 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $8 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $8 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-3.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 103 +6.5% -3.6% 55% 55% -4.9%
≤30d 103 +6.5% -3.6% 55% 55% -4.9%
≤90d 103 +6.5% -3.6% 55% 55% -4.9%
all 103 +6.5% -3.6% 55% 55% -4.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.6% 55% -4.9%
10% ← realistic here -12.9% 53% -14.0%
15% -21.3% 50% -22.3%
20% -29.0% 46% -29.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 174 history records