Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:49:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5b8b…fb0a
crypto · 189 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$8,558 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8,558 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$8,558
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)21%
Wins / losses40 / 148
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)188 / 189
History coverage12d
Avg bet$220
Trades / day37.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 188 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,790
7 days−$8,983
14 days−$8,558
30 days−$8,558
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $164 $0 −$164 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $460 $0 −$460 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $190 $0 −$190 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $160 $0 −$160 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $160 $0 −$160 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $73 −$70 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $211 −$200 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $77 −$73 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $218 −$23 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $261 −$250 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $251 −$240 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $259 +$90 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $736 +$173 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $325 −$325 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $305 −$305 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $138 −$138 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $315 −$315 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $284 −$284 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $365 −$365 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 11 $264 −$264 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $485 −$460 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $234 −$228 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $106 +$320 +303%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $281 −$281 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $198 −$190 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 11 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $260 +$234 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $365 +$501 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $305 −$305 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $136 −$130 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $262 +$593 +226%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $105 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $232 −$232 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 10 $222 −$222 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $169 +$393 +232%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 10 $306 −$306 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 10 $316 −$316 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 10 $430 −$430 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 10 $471 −$471 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 10 $361 −$361 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $449 −$449 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 09 $98 −$93 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 09 $288 +$161 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 09 $106 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $105 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 09 $189 +$195 +103%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 09 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 09 $49 −$46 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 09 $321 −$321 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 09 $420 −$420 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 09 $273 −$273 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 09 $296 −$296 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$8,291
other 1% −$254
sports 0% +$37
weather 0% −$49
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $73 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $47 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $165 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $77 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $387 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $193 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $261 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $229 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $11 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $474 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $14 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $0 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $10 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $34 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $8 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $0 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $4 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $3 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $14 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 45h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-36.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 66 -61.8% -65.5% 15% 15% -65.4%
≤30d 188 -30.3% -36.9% 21% 21% -30.1%
≤90d 188 -30.3% -36.9% 21% 21% -30.1%
all 188 -30.3% -36.9% 21% 21% -30.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -36.9% 21% -30.1%
10% ← realistic here -43.0% 21% -36.8%
15% -48.5% 20% -42.9%
20% -53.5% 20% -48.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 505 history records