Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:41:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5b87…b6bd
crypto · 86 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$217 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$207 · open +$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$867
Realized+$207
Unrealized+$10
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses52 / 50
Open positions1
Markets (closed)102 / 86
History coverage1d
Avg bet$251
Trades / day3415.0
Drawdown71%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 102 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$207
7 days+$207
14 days+$207
30 days+$207
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 44¢ 100¢ $201 $457 +$256 (+127%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 69¢ 100¢ $270 $391 +$120 (+45%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 0¢ 50¢ $0 $10 +$10 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 0¢ 50¢ $0 $10 +$10 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $115 $0 −$115 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $270 $0 −$270 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $270 −$270 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $115 −$115 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $229 −$4 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $406 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $193 −$7 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $295 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $295 +$11 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $406 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $247 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $160 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $236 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $338 +$23 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $175 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $262 −$4 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $236 +$24 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $306 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $253 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $265 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $152 −$5 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $218 +$14 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $476 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $226 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $222 +$14 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $321 +$14 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $161 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $125 −$11 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $124 +$7 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $162 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $283 +$9 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $363 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $407 +$15 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $225 +$13 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $235 +$14 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $158 +$11 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $131 −$4 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$715
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $8 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $11 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $35 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $11 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $33 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $19 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $9 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $26 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $10 5m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-5.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 102 +4.5% -5.5% 51% 5% -9.1%
≤30d 102 +4.5% -5.5% 51% 5% -9.1%
≤90d 102 +4.5% -5.5% 51% 5% -9.1%
all 102 +4.5% -5.5% 51% 5% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3415.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.5% 5% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -14.5% 1% -17.8%
15% -22.8% 1% -25.8%
20% -30.3% 1% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $867.34 · official $867.34 (match) · 3500 history records