trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 25 | +6.3% | -3.9% | 44% | 36% | -6.7% |
| ≤30d | 25 | +6.3% | -3.9% | 44% | 36% | -6.7% |
| ≤90d | 25 | +6.3% | -3.9% | 44% | 36% | -6.7% |
| all | 25 | +6.3% | -3.9% | 44% | 36% | -6.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -3.9% | 36% | -6.7% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -13.1% | 32% | -15.6% |
| 15% | -21.5% | 28% | -23.8% |
| 20% | -29.2% | 20% | -31.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | No | 56¢ | 64¢ | $17 | $19 | +$3 (+15%) |
| Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? | No | 51¢ | 72¢ | $13 | $19 | +$6 (+43%) |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26? | Yes | 57¢ | 15¢ | $5 | $1 | −$4 (-74%) |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | No | 34¢ | 89¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+162%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 16 | $8 | −$5 | -59% |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$1 | -23% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? | Jun 16 | $27 | −$3 | -12% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026? | Jun 16 | $38 | +$18 | +46% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ju | Jun 16 | $9 | −$3 | -28% |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 202 | Jun 16 | $10 | −$4 | -47% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? | Jun 16 | $8 | −$2 | -22% |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 | Jun 15 | $21 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Jun 15 | $15 | +$3 | +22% |
| Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$1 | -8% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$2 | -15% |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | Jun 15 | $35 | −$5 | -14% |
| Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Jun 15 | $10 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? | Jun 15 | $26 | +$29 | +114% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 15 | $95 | −$31 | -32% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 15 | $20 | +$20 | +100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 14 | $30 | −$7 | -24% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$6 | -58% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $4 | +$3 | +78% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 13 | $6 | +$6 | +93% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $10 | +$5 | +54% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | Jun 12 | $14 | −$6 | -44% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? | Jun 12 | $6 | −$2 | -35% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 12? | Jun 11 | $9 | +$3 | +37% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 11? | Jun 11 | $5 | +$1 | +28% |