trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) | Japan | 77¢ | 78¢ | $110 | $111 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Spread: Sweden (-1.5) | Tunisia | 76¢ | 74¢ | $90 | $88 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 47¢ | 46¢ | $80 | $77 | −$3 (-3%) |
| Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 | Under | 57¢ | 56¢ | $65 | $64 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Under | 53¢ | 55¢ | $60 | $62 | +$2 (+3%) |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | Germany | 50¢ | 100¢ | $30 | $60 | +$30 (+99%) |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 50¢ | 50¢ | $45 | $45 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Yes | 28¢ | 28¢ | $30 | $31 | +$1 (+2%) |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Japan? | Yes | 15¢ | 14¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Japan? | Yes | 13¢ | 12¢ | $20 | $18 | −$2 (-12%) |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Yes | 28¢ | 28¢ | $15 | $15 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 23¢ | 22¢ | $15 | $14 | −$1 (-7%) |
| Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 1 Tunisia? | Yes | 15¢ | 14¢ | $12 | $12 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Exact Score: Sweden 0 - 0 Tunisia? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Japan? | Yes | 10¢ | 8¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-15%) |
| Exact Score: Sweden 2 - 1 Tunisia? | Yes | 12¢ | 11¢ | $8 | $7 | −$1 (-8%) |
| Exact Score: Sweden 0 - 1 Tunisia? | Yes | 10¢ | 8¢ | $8 | $6 | −$2 (-20%) |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Japan? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | $6 | $6 | +$0 (+6%) |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | Curaçao | 51¢ | 0¢ | $60 | $1 | −$59 (-99%) |
| Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-100%) |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | Under | 55¢ | 0¢ | $100 | $0 | −$100 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Curaçao? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $15 | $0 | −$15 (-100%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 58¢ | 0¢ | $40 | $0 | −$40 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $15 | $0 | −$15 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $51 | +$149 | +291% |
| Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? | Jun 14 | $31 | +$184 | +596% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 | Jun 14 | $71 | +$22 | +31% |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $101 | +$44 | +44% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 | Jun 13 | $101 | +$50 | +50% |
| Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? | Jun 13 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? | Jun 13 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $41 | −$40 | -99% |
| Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? | Jun 13 | $21 | −$20 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? | Jun 13 | $21 | −$20 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? | Jun 13 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $80 | −$80 | -99% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $51 | +$127 | +250% |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $21 | +$122 | +596% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $152 | +$107 | +70% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $122 | −$120 | -99% |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $21 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $504 | +$210 | +42% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? | Jun 11 | $21 | +$104 | +510% |
| Will Solana reach $110 in May? | May 11 | $47 | −$7 | -14% |
| Will Solana reach $100 in May? | May 11 | $356 | −$41 | -12% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | May 06 | $2 | −$2 | -94% |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | May 06 | $152 | −$6 | -4% |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in May? | May 06 | $32 | −$15 | -49% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? | May 06 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Solana reach $90 in May? | May 06 | $103 | +$40 | +39% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | +65.7% | +49.9% | 48% | 48% | +27.8% |
| ≤30d | 21 | +65.7% | +49.9% | 48% | 48% | +27.8% |
| ≤90d | 28 | +44.2% | +30.5% | 39% | 39% | +15.0% |
| all | 28 | +44.2% | +30.5% | 39% | 39% | +15.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +30.5% | 39% | +15.0% |
| 10% | +18.0% | 39% | +4.0% |
| 15% | +6.6% | 36% | -6.0% |
| 20% | -3.9% | 21% | -15.2% |