trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +59.7% | +44.5% | 100% | 100% | +30.5% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +84.6% | +67.0% | 100% | 100% | +75.7% |
| ≤90d | 22 | +58.9% | +43.8% | 64% | 50% | -3.7% |
| all | 22 | +58.9% | +43.8% | 64% | 50% | -3.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +43.8% | 50% | -3.7% |
| 10% | +30.0% | 41% | -12.9% |
| 15% | +17.5% | 36% | -21.3% |
| 20% | +6.0% | 36% | -29.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 18 | $183 | +$243 | +133% |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 18 | $353 | +$93 | +26% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 18 | $410 | +$82 | +20% |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | May 22 | $728 | +$1,160 | +159% |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 17 | $33 | +$108 | +330% |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 15 | $44 | +$133 | +300% |
| Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 15 | $75 | +$175 | +233% |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi | May 15 | $225 | +$769 | +341% |
| Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 14 | $62 | −$61 | -98% |
| Will Sol Zanetti be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Queb | May 05 | $12 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Ruba Ghazal be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Queb | May 05 | $12 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 20 | May 05 | $18 | +$2 | +13% |
| Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Que | May 05 | $181 | +$4 | +2% |
| Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in | Apr 14 | $1,211 | −$1,211 | -100% |
| Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Te | Apr 14 | $997 | −$997 | -100% |
| Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and | Apr 14 | $390 | +$610 | +156% |
| Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? | Apr 14 | $360 | +$640 | +178% |
| Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 20 | Apr 12 | $489 | −$489 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on April 11? | Apr 11 | $0 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2 | Apr 08 | $84 | −$84 | -100% |
| Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30? | Apr 08 | $102 | −$144 | -141% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 30 | $10,000 | $0 | +0% |