Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:40:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5b6d…db4f
sports · 210 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,576 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,592 · open +$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$203
Realized−$1,592
Unrealized+$16
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses130 / 73
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions7
Markets (closed)203 / 210
History coverage149d
Avg bet$70
Trades / day2.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 7 History 203 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$85
7 days+$135
14 days+$135
30 days+$135
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 Under 91¢ 98¢ $39 $42 +$3 (+8%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5 Under 68¢ 74¢ $35 $38 +$3 (+9%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5 Under 91¢ 97¢ $34 $36 +$2 (+6%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 90¢ 100¢ $30 $33 +$3 (+11%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 Under 86¢ 89¢ $32 $33 +$1 (+3%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Ben Shelton 46¢ 46¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14? Yes 48¢ 66¢ $7 $10 +$3 (+37%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5 Under 21¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5 Under 31¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? No 92¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Canada (-2.5) Jun 12 $20 +$2 +10%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $15 +$7 +48%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $34 +$3 +10%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 12 $24 $0 +2%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $30 +$24 +80%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $13 +$9 +65%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $33 +$1 +2%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $45 +$11 +25%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $50 +$5 +11%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $30 +$11 +37%
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $30 +$3 +11%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 11 $20 +$2 +12%
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $20 +$13 +65%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $14 +$4 +30%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $35 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $30 +$2 +6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $70 +$2 +2%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $25 +$7 +27%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $15 +$4 +24%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $100 +$5 +5%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $70 +$60 +86%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $45 −$16 -36%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Mar 24 $4 +$5 +120%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 Mar 24 $16 −$3 -17%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner Mar 24 $4 −$4 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Mar 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch? Mar 24 $12 −$12 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Mar 24 $7 −$7 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner Mar 24 $21 −$3 -12%
Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Mar 24 $16 +$21 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Mar 24 $12 −$12 -100%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Mar 24 $5 −$5 -91%
FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs. RFK Akhmat Groznyi: O/U 3.5 Mar 24 $10 −$10 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Mar 24 $10 −$10 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Mar 24 $13 −$13 -100%
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Score Mar 24 $15 −$15 -100%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 Mar 24 $10 −$10 -100%
Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5 Mar 24 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 Mar 24 $9 −$9 -100%
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage Mar 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner Mar 24 $20 −$20 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Mar 24 $30 −$30 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Mar 24 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Mar 24 $30 −$30 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner Mar 24 $18 −$18 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner Mar 24 $10 −$10 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner Mar 24 $6 −$6 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 Mar 24 $21 +$1 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 53% −$468
sports 27% −$559
crypto 19% −$554
world 1% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 BUY Under 89¢ $10 2m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 BUY Under 85¢ $22 7m
Spread: Canada (-2.5) SELL Bosnia and Herzegovina 98¢ $0 55m
Spread: Canada (-2.5) SELL Bosnia and Herzegovina 99¢ $22 56m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5 BUY Under 91¢ $34 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5 BUY Under 58¢ $12 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5 BUY Under 57¢ $5 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 90¢ $30 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 46¢ $10 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5 BUY Under 80¢ $19 1h
Spread: Canada (-2.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 90¢ $20 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 91¢ $39 1h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 67¢ $15 16h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 92¢ $17 17h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5 SELL Under 99¢ $57 17h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 22¢ $5 17h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 98¢ $24 18h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 91¢ $34 18h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 98¢ $33 18h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 14¢ $3 18h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 85¢ $25 18h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 31¢ $5 18h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Hurricanes 60¢ $13 19h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 75¢ $15 19h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 75¢ $10 19h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 72¢ $20 20h
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) SELL South Africa 82¢ $35 23h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $10 23h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 55¢ $20 23h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 49¢ $20 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 +11.8% +1.2% 83% 54% +6.3%
≤30d 24 +11.8% +1.2% 83% 54% +6.3%
≤90d 60 -40.6% -46.2% 38% 25% -57.7%
all 203 -4.8% -13.9% 64% 40% -19.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.9% 40% -19.5%
10% -22.1% 33% -27.2%
15% -29.7% 24% -34.2%
20% -36.6% 16% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $203.00 · official $203.00 (match) · 589 history records