Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:22:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5b6c…5457
sports · 13 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$354 -38%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$399 · open +$45
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$224
Realized−$399
Unrealized+$45
Win rate (resolved)18%
Wins / losses2 / 9
Est. fees paid−$15
Open positions2
Markets (closed)11 / 13
History coverage6d
Avg bet$72
Trades / day2.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 2 History 11 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$399
7 days−$399
14 days−$399
30 days−$399
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 12¢ 32¢ $81 $224 +$142 (+176%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 32¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 74¢ 0¢ $162 $0 −$162 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 27¢ 0¢ $84 $0 −$84 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 24¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 13 $3 +$1 +18%
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 13 $15 $0 -2%
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 13 $15 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $10 −$9 -97%
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 13 $10 −$1 -8%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $164 −$162 -99%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $168 −$4 -2%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $86 −$84 -97%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 13 $251 −$251 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $26 +$122 +474%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 78% −$349
other 22% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 12¢ $84 1h
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 8¢ $4 1h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 38¢ $15 1h
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 38¢ $15 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 32¢ $100 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 24¢ $10 8h
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 5¢ $9 10h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 74¢ $164 10h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 81¢ $164 10h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 27¢ $86 14h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $168 22h
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 7¢ $3 23h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 37¢ $15 23h
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 37¢ $15 23h
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $10 23h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 100¢ $148 24h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 31¢ $10 25h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 17¢ $26 25h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY 9z 11¢ $251 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 -2.1% -11.4% 18% 18% -57.4%
≤30d 11 -2.1% -11.4% 18% 18% -57.4%
≤90d 11 -2.1% -11.4% 18% 18% -57.4%
all 11 -2.1% -11.4% 18% 18% -57.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.4% 18% -57.4%
10% -19.9% 9% -61.5%
15% -27.6% 9% -65.2%
20% -34.7% 9% -68.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $223.68 · official $223.68 (match) · 21 history records