Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:22:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5b63…11a4
crypto · 720 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$226,995 +133%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$267,610 · open −$33,241
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Wins small, loses big
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$468,148
Realized+$267,610
Unrealized−$33,241
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses297 / 141
Whale WR (big bets)39%
Est. fees paid−$450
Open positions426
Markets (closed)438 / 720
Avg bet$238
Trades / day3114.0
Drawdown2%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 426 History 438 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$267,610
7 days+$267,610
14 days+$267,610
30 days+$267,610
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $25,052 $24,813 −$239 (-1%)
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? No 91¢ 97¢ $19,898 $21,144 +$1,246 (+6%)
Will Republican House incumbents not win in fewer than three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? No 97¢ 100¢ $14,939 $15,294 +$355 (+2%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $15,989 $15,269 −$720 (-5%)
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? No 86¢ 94¢ $13,848 $15,163 +$1,315 (+9%)
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No 73¢ 87¢ $12,259 $14,603 +$2,343 (+19%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 9¢ $9,529 $9,617 +$88 (+1%)
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 53¢ 50¢ $9,943 $9,503 −$439 (-4%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 68¢ 68¢ $8,684 $8,664 −$20 (-0%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $7,549 $8,411 +$862 (+11%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 41¢ 19¢ $17,887 $8,262 −$9,625 (-54%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $7,966 $8,228 +$262 (+3%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 49¢ 48¢ $6,731 $6,557 −$174 (-3%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 73¢ 69¢ $6,567 $6,240 −$327 (-5%)
Fed rate hike in 2026? No 58¢ 52¢ $6,729 $5,994 −$735 (-11%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 52¢ $5,960 $5,853 −$107 (-2%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 60¢ $5,653 $5,663 +$10 (+0%)
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? No 97¢ 100¢ $5,097 $5,222 +$125 (+2%)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 90¢ 90¢ $5,121 $5,175 +$54 (+1%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 80¢ 72¢ $5,661 $5,124 −$537 (-9%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $4,839 $4,658 −$182 (-4%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 62¢ $4,856 $4,654 −$202 (-4%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? Yes 69¢ 69¢ $4,583 $4,630 +$47 (+1%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 91¢ 94¢ $4,429 $4,551 +$122 (+3%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No 52¢ 28¢ $8,205 $4,396 −$3,810 (-46%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hamburg European Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Karen Khachanov Jun 12 $1,894 −$278 -15%
Hamburg European Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Joao Fonseca Jun 12 $936 −$18 -2%
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Emilio Nava Jun 12 $723 −$157 -22%
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 12 $430 −$97 -22%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Jun 12 $198 +$40 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $189 +$41 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $167 +$53 +32%
Counter-Strike: Omega vs TDK (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Eu Jun 12 $203 −$42 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $104 +$46 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $54 +$137 +256%
Abidjan 2: Robert Strombachs vs Florent Bax Jun 12 $95 +$25 +27%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 20? Jun 12 $104 +$16 +15%
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Jun 12 $93 +$10 +11%
Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft? Jun 12 $57 +$42 +74%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on April 20? Jun 12 $95 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $91 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $47 +$36 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $72 +$5 +7%
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$51 +668%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $53 +$3 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$22 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $45 +$7 +15%
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$34 +203%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $38 −$12 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$12 -32%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $236 +$153 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$51 +204%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$4 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$4 -10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $26 $0 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $63 +$172 +273%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$4 -13%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $195 +$123 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$9 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $73 +$40 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $48 −$16 -34%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $184 −$152 -82%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $113 +$13 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$1 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 83% +$235,700
crypto 9% +$2,090
sports 7% −$2,136
finance 0% +$306
world 0% −$716
tech 0% −$88
politics 0% +$1
economics 0% −$768
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $95 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $47 0m
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Zhizhen Zhang 45¢ $49 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $9 1m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $12 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 2m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 64¢ $9 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $28 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $9 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $143 3m
Will England win on 2026-06-23? BUY Yes 75¢ $47 3m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 48¢ $28 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $16 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $12 5m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 64¢ $38 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 6m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 50¢ $8 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 6m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 50¢ $123 6m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 64¢ $38 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $7 7m
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 82¢ $28 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $7 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $6 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 9m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)+20.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 438 +33.5% +20.8% 68% 43% +152.9%
≤30d 438 +33.5% +20.8% 68% 43% +152.9%
≤90d 438 +33.5% +20.8% 68% 43% +152.9%
all 438 +33.5% +20.8% 68% 43% +152.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3114.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +20.8% 43% +152.9%
10% ← realistic here +9.2% 34% +128.7%
15% -1.3% 29% +106.6%
20% -11.0% 24% +86.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $468,148.50 · official $479,440.54 · 3500 history records