trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | -20.5% | -28.1% | 22% | 22% | -23.7% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -20.5% | -28.1% | 22% | 22% | -23.7% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -24.7% | -31.9% | 21% | 21% | -35.8% |
| all | 19 | -24.7% | -31.9% | 21% | 21% | -35.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -31.9% | 21% | -35.8% |
| 10% | -38.4% | 21% | -41.9% |
| 15% | -44.4% | 16% | -47.5% |
| 20% | -49.8% | 5% | -52.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%? | Yes | 5¢ | 9¢ | $1 | $2 | +$1 (+88%) |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%? | Yes | 6¢ | 1¢ | $4 | $1 | −$3 (-74%) |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-96%) |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-91%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 14 | $2 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -89% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 13 | $2 | −$1 | -57% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | Jun 11 | $4 | $0 | -9% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | Jun 11 | $3 | $0 | -13% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | Jun 11 | $2 | +$1 | +50% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | Jun 11 | $4 | +$1 | +24% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -58% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | Jun 11 | $1 | +$3 | +296% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | Jun 11 | $2 | +$1 | +40% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | -31% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | Jun 11 | $6 | −$3 | -51% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -58% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 11 | $8 | $0 | -5% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Apr 09 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |