Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T13:10:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
5B 0x5b47…4660 crypto 302 markets active 1h ago coverage 4d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (88 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$120 (+3%) realized +$120 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR55%break-even
Win rate82%249W / 53L
Drawdown88%max
Avg bet$13per market
Trades / day87.8pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% +$64
other 5% +$2
sports 0% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (88 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-4.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 302 +6.0% -4.1% 82% 55% -7.8%
≤30d 302 +6.0% -4.1% 82% 55% -7.8%
≤90d 302 +6.0% -4.1% 82% 55% -7.8%
all 302 +6.0% -4.1% 82% 55% -7.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover87.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.1% 55% -7.8%
10% ← realistic here -13.3% 35% -16.6%
15% -21.7% 21% -24.7%
20% -29.3% 11% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 24% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
32% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +6% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +10% → late +2% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$14 · ×0.23 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.1 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$120
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses249 / 53
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)302 / 302
History coverage4d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day87.8
Drawdown88%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 302 Trades
no open positions (41 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 26 $61 +$18 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 26 $10 +$11 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 26 $2 +$3 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 26 $7 −$7 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 26 $20 +$12 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 26 $10 +$5 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$1 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$1 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 26 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 26 $55 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 26 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 26 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 26 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 26 $15 +$6 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 26 $50 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 26 $57 −$5 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$1 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $61 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $20 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 631 history records