Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:40:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5b47…da3b
crypto · 1198 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$25 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$25 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$25
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses844 / 353
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1197 / 1198
History coverage50d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day52.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1197 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$36
14 days−$13
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 60¢ 88¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+46%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$6 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$3 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$5 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-4.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 222 +16.4% +5.3% 77% 64% -14.5%
≤30d 1121 +4.9% -5.1% 70% 48% -10.4%
≤90d 1197 +5.6% -4.5% 71% 49% -10.7%
all 1197 +5.6% -4.5% 71% 49% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover52.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.5% 49% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -13.6% 31% -19.2%
15% -22.0% 22% -27.0%
20% -29.6% 14% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.94 · official $1.52 (match) · 3500 history records