Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:50:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5b45…362b
sports · 616 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$440 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,199 · open −$2,172
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,948
Realized+$1,199
Unrealized−$2,172
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses266 / 338
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$1,098
Open positions12
Markets (closed)604 / 616
History coverage32d
Avg bet$233
Trades / day62.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 12 History 604 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,200
7 days+$2,858
14 days+$7,902
30 days+$1,199
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 92¢ 60¢ $2,347 $1,547 −$801 (-34%)
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 80¢ 60¢ $1,728 $1,313 −$415 (-24%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 38¢ 46¢ $32 $40 +$7 (+22%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 25¢ 2¢ $144 $11 −$134 (-93%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Tampa Bay Rays 28¢ 16¢ $18 $11 −$7 (-41%)
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 79¢ 66¢ $12 $10 −$2 (-16%)
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 21¢ 1¢ $185 $9 −$176 (-95%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 66¢ 80¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+21%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 13¢ 0¢ $551 $2 −$549 (-100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $50 $1 −$49 (-99%)
United States leading at halftime? No 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Exact Score: Any Other Score? No 72¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score No 45¢ 0¢ $542 $0 −$542 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 13¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) Paraguay 7¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Spread: United States (-2.5) Paraguay 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Under 13¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Paraguay leading at halftime? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Under 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $12 +$9 +73%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $109 +$7 +6%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $32 +$2 +5%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $504 +$103 +20%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $10 +$2 +19%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $268 +$202 +75%
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 13 $67 +$34 +50%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $23 +$28 +122%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $230 +$36 +16%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $13 −$13 -97%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $1,387 −$527 -38%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $37 −$36 -98%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime? Jun 13 $187 −$50 -27%
Paraguay leading at halftime? Jun 13 $19 −$18 -98%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $130 −$130 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $225 +$77 +34%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $312 −$263 -84%
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Canada leading at halftime? Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $66 −$66 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $111 −$93 -84%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $192 −$45 -23%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $134 +$6 +5%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $12 +$3 +25%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $66 +$1 +2%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $456 +$224 +49%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $1,106 −$917 -83%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $13 +$17 +129%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $241 −$180 -74%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $63 +$37 +58%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $62 +$7 +11%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2,052 +$305 +15%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $165 −$165 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $53 −$53 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $16 +$20 +127%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $198 −$13 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 73% +$1,089
other 16% +$236
politics 10% −$2,266
finance 1% +$170
world 0% −$343
tech 0% +$168
crypto 0% −$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 16¢ $2 28m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 46¢ $10 47m
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 1¢ $1 47m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 1¢ $2 48m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 29¢ $2 48m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 29¢ $1 48m
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY United States 95¢ $66 48m
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY No 74¢ $42 48m
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY No 74¢ $9 48m
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY No 74¢ $50 48m
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY No 74¢ $10 48m
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY No 32¢ $2 48m
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY No 32¢ $0 48m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 2¢ $9 48m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay? BUY Yes 5¢ $4 53m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 23¢ $12 57m
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY Paraguay 8¢ $2 57m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 76¢ $9 58m
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 21¢ $2 1h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 94¢ $109 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 37¢ $15 1h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 48¢ $11 1h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 55¢ $107 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 2¢ $2 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 25¢ $0 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 25¢ $9 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 56¢ $19 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 57¢ $19 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 57¢ $40 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 57¢ $14 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-20.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 172 -8.2% -17.0% 42% 33% -2.5%
≤30d 603 -12.3% -20.7% 44% 36% -8.7%
≤90d 604 -12.3% -20.7% 44% 37% -8.7%
all 604 -12.3% -20.7% 44% 37% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover62.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.7% 37% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -28.2% 26% -17.5%
15% -35.2% 19% -25.5%
20% -41.5% 15% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,948.49 · official $2,948.49 (match) · 2814 history records