Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:53:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5b35…12b3
crypto · 795 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$177 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$90 · open −$86
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$176
Realized−$90
Unrealized−$86
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses578 / 207
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions27
Markets (closed)785 / 795
History coverage20d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day135.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 27 History 785 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$41
7 days−$271
14 days−$388
30 days−$90
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 55¢ 74¢ $30 $41 +$11 (+36%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 15¢ 17¢ $15 $17 +$2 (+12%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 13¢ 16¢ $13 $16 +$3 (+23%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 11¢ $9 $11 +$2 (+17%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 13¢ 10¢ $13 $10 −$3 (-26%)
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 26¢ 24¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-6%)
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 69¢ 66¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-5%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $9 $8 −$1 (-7%)
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes 40¢ 8¢ $40 $8 −$32 (-81%)
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 32¢ 13¢ $15 $6 −$9 (-61%)
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 63¢ 55¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-13%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 5¢ $8 $5 −$3 (-36%)
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 9¢ 11¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+19%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+33%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 94¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+103%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 20¢ 24¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+21%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? No 35¢ 26¢ $3 $3 −$1 (-27%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 10¢ 12¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+25%)
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+56%)
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 58¢ 16¢ $6 $2 −$4 (-73%)
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 35¢ 34¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 73¢ 72¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-32%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-29%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-29%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $43 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$5 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $21 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $60 +$94 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $7 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $22 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$3 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $32 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $18 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -49%
Philippines vs. Myanmar: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Bolivia vs. Algeria end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Neither team to score first? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 12 $13 −$2 -12%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 12 $89 −$37 -42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 75% −$103
other 23% −$141
sports 2% +$65
finance 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 40m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $1 48m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $2 48m
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 55m
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 26¢ $4 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 26¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 288 -11.9% -20.3% 70% 14% -16.4%
≤30d 785 -1.6% -11.0% 74% 25% -10.4%
≤90d 785 -1.6% -11.0% 74% 25% -10.4%
all 785 -1.6% -11.0% 74% 25% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover135.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 25% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 15% -18.9%
15% -27.3% 8% -26.8%
20% -34.4% 5% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $176.26 · official $176.26 (match) · 3500 history records