Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:45:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5b26…1830
crypto · 135 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$242 -26%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$242 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$242
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses45 / 90
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)135 / 135
History coverage33d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day7.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 135 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$30
7 days−$64
14 days−$152
30 days−$213
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down on June 3? Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +67%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -88%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 08 $15 −$14 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 06 $9 −$9 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 06 $4 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 05 $4 −$4 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 03 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 03 $21 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 03 $4 −$4 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 03 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 03 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 03 $6 +$3 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 3? Jun 03 $2 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 03 $14 +$11 +74%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 03 $5 +$3 +67%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 03 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 01 $26 −$14 -53%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 01 $6 −$6 -92%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 01 $15 −$15 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 01 $16 +$7 +43%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 01 $10 −$2 -17%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET May 30 $19 −$19 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET May 30 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET May 29 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET May 29 $11 −$10 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET May 29 $16 −$5 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET May 29 $7 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET May 28 $3 +$13 +414%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET May 28 $16 −$10 -63%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET May 28 $11 +$18 +154%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET May 28 $7 −$7 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET May 28 $7 −$7 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET May 28 $10 +$17 +167%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET May 28 $7 −$7 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET May 28 $6 −$6 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$246
sports 0% +$4
other 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $7 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $17 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $11 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $10 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $10 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $4 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $9 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 6d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $3 6d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 7d
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 7d
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 7d
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 8d
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $10 9d
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $7 9d
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 9d
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $15 9d
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $10 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-38.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -69.9% -72.8% 17% 8% -69.4%
≤30d 103 -41.3% -46.8% 26% 22% -36.0%
≤90d 135 -32.3% -38.7% 33% 28% -33.8%
all 135 -32.3% -38.7% 33% 28% -33.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -38.7% 28% -33.8%
10% -44.6% 27% -40.2%
15% -49.9% 25% -46.0%
20% -54.8% 17% -51.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 304 history records