Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:53:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5b20…65f3
crypto · 1686 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$60 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$60 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$60
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses1360 / 326
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1686 / 1686
History coverage84d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day23.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1686 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$1
14 days+$1
30 days−$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$60
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 55 -1.3% -10.7% 84% 71% -10.6%
≤30d 297 -3.1% -12.3% 85% 54% -12.2%
≤90d 1686 -2.1% -11.4% 81% 47% -8.8%
all 1686 -2.1% -11.4% 81% 47% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 47% -8.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 4% -17.6%
15% -27.6% 1% -25.5%
20% -34.7% 0% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records