Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:17:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5b1f…0ff4
crypto · 82 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$20 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$19 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$127
Realized−$19
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses43 / 28
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions11
Markets (closed)71 / 82
History coverage11d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day13.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 11 History 71 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days−$16
14 days−$19
30 days−$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $60 $59 −$1 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $40 $40 −$0 (-0%)
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 75¢ 72¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-3%)
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 70¢ 72¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+4%)
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 73¢ 76¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+3%)
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 79¢ 80¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+2%)
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 82¢ 80¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 72¢ 70¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 80¢ 77¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-4%)
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 61¢ 58¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 45¢ 40¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$6 +109%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $7 −$5 -70%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +124%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -80%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$4 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$3 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8AM ET Jun 07 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7AM ET Jun 07 $21 −$2 -10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 07 $10 +$5 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$3 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6AM ET Jun 07 $5 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3AM ET Jun 07 $3 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$3 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2AM ET Jun 07 $6 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 07 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9PM ET Jun 07 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 05 $3 −$3 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 05 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 05 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 05 $1 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$1 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 05 $2 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 05 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -93%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? Jun 05 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 04 $4 +$2 +57%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June? Jun 04 $1 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 56% −$23
other 43% +$5
sports 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $51 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $30 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $10 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $5 13h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $5 13h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $11 13h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $2 15h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 23h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $3 23h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $3 23h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 20¢ $2 29h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $2 30h
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 45¢ $2 30h
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 61¢ $2 30h
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 70¢ $3 30h
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 75¢ $3 30h
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 80¢ $3 30h
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 72¢ $3 30h
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 75¢ $3 30h
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 73¢ $3 30h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 89¢ $2 36h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 13¢ $0 36h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 60¢ $1 36h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 60¢ $1 36h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $1 39h
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 79¢ $3 39h
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 82¢ $3 39h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $14 42h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 -16.8% -24.7% 46% 39% -21.1%
≤30d 71 -5.2% -14.3% 61% 44% -18.1%
≤90d 71 -5.2% -14.3% 61% 44% -18.1%
all 71 -5.2% -14.3% 61% 44% -18.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.3% 44% -18.1%
10% -22.5% 35% -25.9%
15% -29.9% 31% -33.1%
20% -36.8% 18% -39.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $126.92 · official $126.93 (match) · 155 history records