trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +1.5% | -8.2% | 60% | 0% | -9.0% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 38% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 38% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 28 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 36% | 0% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.3% | 0% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -18.0% | 0% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -25.9% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | +7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 15 | $42 | $0 | +1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 13 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 13 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Jun 10 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Jun 10 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 09 | $29 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 08 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | Jul 22 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025? | Jul 22 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 National League Championshi | Jun 24 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Solana be between $190 and $200 on May 30? | May 31 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Solana reach $300 in May? | May 15 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ellen DeGeneres be named in Epstein files? | May 15 | $11 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese | May 14 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Denmark finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5? | May 12 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion? | May 12 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Starmer out before July? | May 11 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30? | May 11 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sam Altman buy TikTok? | May 10 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Frank McCourt buy TikTok? | May 09 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Pacers vs. Warriors be the 2025 NBA Finals matchup? | May 08 | $1 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Cavaliers vs. Nuggets be the 2025 NBA Finals matchup? | May 08 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey be named in Epstein files? | May 08 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mario Grech be the next pope? | May 07 | $11 | $0 | -1% |
| Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government? | May 07 | $12 | $0 | +2% |
| Mehmet Oz confirmed as Medicare and Medicaid Administrator? | Apr 05 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Mount St. Mary's s vs. Duke | Mar 22 | $12 | $0 | +2% |