Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:22:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5b14…039b
sports · 139 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
−$7,726 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,893 · open +$529
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,043
Realized−$7,893
Unrealized+$529
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses83 / 55
Whale WR (big bets)49%
Est. fees paid−$1,852
Open positions1
Markets (closed)138 / 139
History coverage181d
Avg bet$1,199
Trades / day2.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 138 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9,744
7 days−$7,094
14 days−$7,088
30 days−$8,734
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner 9z 49¢ 100¢ $513 $1,043 +$529 (+103%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 35¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 65¢ 0¢ $982 $0 −$982 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner FURIA 65¢ 0¢ $985 $0 −$985 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Spirit 62¢ 0¢ $2,945 $0 −$2,945 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 68¢ 0¢ $929 $0 −$929 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner paiN 54¢ 0¢ $264 $0 −$264 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 57¢ 0¢ $191 $0 −$191 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 32¢ 0¢ $873 $0 −$873 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 1 Winner MOUZ 49¢ 0¢ $203 $0 −$203 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner MOUZ 52¢ 0¢ $462 $0 −$462 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1,996 +$593 +30%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $485 −$475 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $510 −$500 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $8,375 −$3,867 -46%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $891 −$873 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $964 −$71 -7%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $6,649 −$4,611 -69%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,420 −$313 -22%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $6,668 +$632 +10%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $913 +$816 +89%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $4,901 −$90 -2%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $996 −$985 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,147 +$455 +40%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2,004 −$224 -11%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $996 +$665 +67%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $457 +$461 +101%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $254 −$157 -62%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $3,207 +$119 +4%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $765 −$264 -34%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $1,693 +$226 +13%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $946 +$243 +26%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $899 +$222 +25%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1,010 +$459 +46%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $495 +$461 +93%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1,007 −$14 -1%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $9,669 +$6 +0%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships P May 24 $1,009 +$420 +42%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 4 Winner May 24 $1,311 −$45 -3%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 3 Winner May 24 $995 +$1,180 +119%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner May 24 $6,589 −$3,180 -48%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner May 24 $992 −$982 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner May 22 $1,444 −$341 -24%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winner May 17 $294 +$167 +57%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner May 15 $1,922 +$298 +16%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner May 15 $994 +$135 +14%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winner May 15 $907 +$282 +31%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winner May 15 $322 +$199 +62%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winner May 15 $5 +$3 +57%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner May 15 $497 +$217 +44%
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner May 13 $1,784 +$198 +11%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A May 12 $995 −$327 -33%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner May 12 $70 −$40 -56%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner May 11 $489 +$347 +71%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner May 11 $402 −$48 -12%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 11 $509 −$18 -4%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 11 $473 +$258 +54%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs magic - Map 1 Winner May 11 $365 +$48 +13%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner May 11 $1,414 −$20 -1%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner May 11 $494 +$172 +35%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 2 Winner May 11 $162 −$70 -43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$7,364
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 49¢ $521 30m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL 9z 12¢ $222 57m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 31¢ $602 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner SELL FURIA 100¢ $2,590 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner BUY FURIA 76¢ $1,996 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner SELL MOUZ 11¢ $3 5h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 52¢ $485 5h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 35¢ $510 5h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 25¢ $1,109 9h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 48¢ $2,213 10h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner SELL TheMongolz 53¢ $2,217 10h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 74¢ $3,164 10h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 28¢ $1,168 10h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 34¢ $13 10h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 69¢ $2,998 10h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 32¢ $891 25h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 54¢ $893 25h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 57¢ $964 25h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 62¢ $2,979 26h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 44¢ $1,724 26h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 44¢ $227 26h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 81¢ $3,671 27h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 99¢ $681 27h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 61¢ $425 27h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 33¢ $426 27h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 75¢ $995 27h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 100¢ $7,300 30h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 91¢ $6,668 30h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 100¢ $1,729 31h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 52¢ $913 32h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-4.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -8.4% -17.1% 48% 40% -20.3%
≤30d 39 -1.9% -11.2% 56% 49% -15.7%
≤90d 136 +4.9% -5.1% 60% 52% -12.0%
all 138 +5.2% -4.8% 60% 52% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.8% 52% -11.6%
10% -13.9% 38% -20.1%
15% -22.2% 25% -27.8%
20% -29.9% 17% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,042.72 · official $1,042.72 (match) · 464 history records