Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:57:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5b0b…3aaa
crypto · 307 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,097 -33%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,097 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$123
Realized−$4,097
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses221 / 282
Open positions0
Markets (closed)503 / 307
History coverage3d
Avg bet$40
Trades / day1101.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 503 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,033
7 days−$4,097
14 days−$4,097
30 days−$4,097
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - December 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 87¢ 100¢ $107 $123 +$16 (+15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - December 27, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - December 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - December 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - December 22, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - December 24, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - December 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - December 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - December 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $107 +$31 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 27, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $55 −$55 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 22, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 24, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $73 −$73 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$6
weather 1% +$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $11 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $17 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $11 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $14 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $8 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $15 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $13 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $12 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $7 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $7 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $6 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 55m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-44.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 503 -38.9% -44.7% 44% 39% -31.9%
≤30d 503 -38.9% -44.7% 44% 39% -31.9%
≤90d 503 -38.9% -44.7% 44% 39% -31.9%
all 503 -38.9% -44.7% 44% 39% -31.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1101.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -44.7% 39% -31.9%
10% ← realistic here -50.0% 22% -38.4%
15% -54.8% 9% -44.4%
20% -59.3% 3% -49.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $122.73 · official $122.73 (match) · 3500 history records