Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T15:36:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5B 0x5b04…fbc7 crypto 49 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (103 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$108 (-13%) realized −$108 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -22% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -40% what you keep after slip
Net edge-40%after slip
Net WR31%break-even
Win rate31%15W / 34L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day103.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$222
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (103 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-29.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 -22.1% -29.5% 31% 31% -38.0%
≤30d 49 -22.1% -29.5% 31% 31% -38.0%
≤90d 49 -22.1% -29.5% 31% 31% -38.0%
all 49 -22.1% -29.5% 31% 31% -38.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover103.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.5% 31% -38.0%
10% ← realistic here -36.3% 31% -43.9%
15% -42.4% 31% -49.3%
20% -48.1% 29% -54.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 28% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -31% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -22% · $-wt -31% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -33% → late -12% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$15 vs −$13 · ×1.13 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.5 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$108
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses15 / 34
Open positions0
Markets (closed)49 / 49
History coverage1d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day103.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 49 Trades
no open positions (31 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $26 −$24 -93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $21 −$20 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $30 −$3 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $22 −$21 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $21 −$20 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $19 +$24 +126%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $21 −$20 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $28 −$27 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $21 +$11 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$8 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $21 +$23 +111%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$10 +94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $21 +$22 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 16 $21 −$20 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $31 −$11 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $21 +$29 +140%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$10 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $31 +$9 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $21 −$14 -67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $14 −$13 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $16 −$15 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $21 −$20 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $22 −$1 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 16 $16 −$15 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $16 +$21 +134%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $31 +$8 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $29 −$28 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 16 $18 −$17 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $23 −$2 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$11 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$9 -88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 16 $14 −$13 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 16 $20 −$19 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 16 $16 −$15 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 16 $21 +$33 +160%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$5 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$8 +73%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $4 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 4¢ $2 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $6 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $21 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $21 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $24 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $3 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $20 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $22 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $10 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $10 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $43 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $8 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $11 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $18 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $32 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $21 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $44 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $43 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 110 history records