trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -38.3% | -44.2% | 25% | 12% | -11.4% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -51.5% | -56.1% | 17% | 8% | -14.4% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -57.2% | -61.2% | 19% | 6% | -14.7% |
| all | 16 | -57.2% | -61.2% | 19% | 6% | -14.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -61.2% | 6% | -14.7% |
| 10% | -64.9% | 6% | -22.9% |
| 15% | -68.3% | 6% | -30.3% |
| 20% | -71.4% | 6% | -37.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 73¢ | 74¢ | $800 | $816 | +$16 (+2%) |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Yes | 20¢ | 18¢ | $150 | $139 | −$11 (-8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $407 | +$568 | +139% |
| Exact Score: Ghana 3 - 0 Panama? | Jun 17 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Ghana 3 - 1 Panama? | Jun 17 | $26 | −$25 | -97% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $308 | +$25 | +8% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $204 | −$200 | -98% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $205 | −$200 | -98% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $615 | −$145 | -24% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $103 | −$31 | -31% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $41 | −$40 | -99% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $11 | −$11 | -97% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 30 | $70 | −$8 | -11% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 12? | Apr 12 | $1 | −$1 | -93% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 12? | Apr 12 | $3 | −$3 | -93% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | Apr 12 | $3 | $0 | +3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | Apr 11 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |