trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 14 | -20.9% | -28.4% | 43% | 43% | -24.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -28.4% | 43% | -24.0% |
| 10% | -35.2% | 43% | -31.3% |
| 15% | -41.5% | 36% | -37.9% |
| 20% | -47.2% | 36% | -44.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 12¢ | $785 | $1,036 | +$251 (+32%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | Dec 06 | $147 | −$147 | -100% |
| Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the | Oct 27 | $97 | +$61 | +62% |
| Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope? | May 11 | $5 | −$4 | -86% |
| Will Robert Sarah be the next pope? | May 08 | $11 | −$6 | -58% |
| Will US annual inflation be 2.6% or less in December? | Feb 25 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Álvaro Delgado win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election? | Nov 25 | $22 | −$22 | -98% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 22 | $78 | +$44 | +57% |
| Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher | Oct 24 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Trump and Biden both win nomination? | Oct 24 | $1 | +$1 | +138% |
| Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win? | Oct 24 | $15 | +$4 | +25% |
| Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? | Oct 24 | $24 | +$13 | +54% |
| BTC above $27,000 at end of September? | Oct 23 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Inter Miami make playoffs? | Oct 23 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| BTC above $28,000 at end of August? | Sep 10 | $1 | +$1 | +114% |