Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:53:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5A
0x5aec…8065
crypto · 910 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$160 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$160 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$16
Realized−$160
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses421 / 488
Open positions3
Markets (closed)909 / 910
History coverage20d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day128.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 909 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$33
7 days−$302
14 days−$103
30 days−$160
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $7 $9 +$2 (+22%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $7 $6 −$0 (-7%)
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-50%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$15 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$7 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$4 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$12 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $13 +$12 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$160
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $14 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $7 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $7 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $15 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $6 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $13 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $13 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 197 -32.9% -39.3% 34% 34% -36.8%
≤30d 909 -1.8% -11.2% 46% 42% -11.5%
≤90d 909 -1.8% -11.2% 46% 42% -11.5%
all 909 -1.8% -11.2% 46% 42% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover128.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.2% 42% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 38% -20.0%
15% -27.4% 37% -27.7%
20% -34.6% 32% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.03 · official $16.03 (match) · 3500 history records