Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:01:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5A
0x5ade…412d
crypto · 198 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$11 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses191 / 7
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)198 / 198
History coverage4d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day54.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 198 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$11
14 days−$11
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 94¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 12? Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +10%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $18 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico? Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$16
other 3% +$1
finance 2% +$1
sports 1% +$2
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $15 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $14 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $13 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $14 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $15 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $0 13h
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 99¢ $20 13h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $20 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $14 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $15 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $15 17h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $15 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $14 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 18h
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 12? BUY Yes 98¢ $15 18h
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $15 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 198 -0.5% -10.0% 96% 1% -9.9%
≤30d 198 -0.5% -10.0% 96% 1% -9.9%
≤90d 198 -0.5% -10.0% 96% 1% -9.9%
all 198 -0.5% -10.0% 96% 1% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover54.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 1% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 0% -18.5%
15% -26.4% 0% -26.4%
20% -33.7% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.64 · official $0.00 (match) · 399 history records