Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:59:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5A
0x5ad6…15c8
crypto · 698 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3,059 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,059 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,059
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses416 / 282
Whale WR (big bets)43%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)698 / 698
History coverage42d
Avg bet$42
Trades / day26.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 698 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$183
7 days+$228
14 days+$228
30 days+$89
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$24 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$10 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$24 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $103 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $71 −$70 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$33 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$10 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$11 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$9 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$11 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$4 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$10 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$15 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$6 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$28 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$46 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$46 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$18 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$36 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $61 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$24 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$17 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 69% −$569
other 30% −$2,499
sports 1% −$104
world 0% +$70
weather 0% +$43
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $101 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $103 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $51 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $21 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $21 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $20 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $20 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $51 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $20 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 113 -0.0% -9.6% 67% 65% -3.3%
≤30d 466 -0.8% -10.2% 55% 54% -8.3%
≤90d 698 -1.3% -10.7% 60% 55% -19.0%
all 698 -1.3% -10.7% 60% 55% -19.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 55% -19.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 47% -26.8%
15% -27.0% 40% -33.9%
20% -34.2% 31% -40.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1423 history records