Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:50:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5A
0x5ad2…de2e
crypto · 1632 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$5 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses768 / 781
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1549 / 1632
History coverage108d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day25.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 3 History 1549 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days+$5
14 days+$74
30 days+$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 46¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Yes 40¢ 40¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 18¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score Yes 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: Both Teams to Score Yes 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5 Over 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score Yes 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Le Havre AC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score Yes 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-08? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11? No 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-05-02? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to Score Yes 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -97%
Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$2 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$2 +187%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +118%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Indonesia vs. Mozambique: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 09 $6 +$6 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 09 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$2 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 49% −$32
sports 43% +$66
other 7% −$43
culture 0% +$2
world 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 59m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $3 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 40¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 125 -5.4% -14.4% 51% 47% -7.5%
≤30d 577 -2.9% -12.2% 51% 47% -7.2%
≤90d 1106 -4.2% -13.4% 49% 47% -9.4%
all 1549 -4.4% -13.5% 50% 48% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.5% 48% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -21.8% 46% -18.3%
15% -29.4% 42% -26.2%
20% -36.3% 36% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.96 · official $6.96 (match) · 3048 history records