trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 62% | 62% | -6.8% |
| ≤30d | 26 | -7.8% | -16.6% | 58% | 50% | -10.1% |
| ≤90d | 29 | -12.9% | -21.2% | 52% | 45% | -11.5% |
| all | 29 | -12.9% | -21.2% | 52% | 45% | -11.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.2% | 45% | -11.5% |
| 10% | -28.7% | 24% | -19.9% |
| 15% | -35.6% | 17% | -27.7% |
| 20% | -41.9% | 14% | -34.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Yes | 37¢ | 72¢ | $20 | $39 | +$19 (+93%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 19¢ | $13 | $15 | +$3 (+20%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 14¢ | $12 | $10 | −$2 (-17%) |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%? | Yes | 13¢ | 1¢ | $20 | $2 | −$18 (-91%) |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $1 | −$29 (-96%) |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+10%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $101 | −$42 | -41% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $100 | +$16 | +16% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $10 | −$7 | -66% |
| Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $202 | +$120 | +59% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $201 | −$123 | -61% |
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $152 | +$98 | +65% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $202 | −$140 | -70% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $100 | +$19 | +18% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $401 | −$36 | -9% |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $111 | −$102 | -92% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $202 | +$100 | +50% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $341 | +$41 | +12% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $101 | +$68 | +67% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $101 | +$24 | +24% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 17 | $80 | +$16 | +20% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $101 | +$21 | +21% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $50 | +$3 | +6% |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Jun 14 | $40 | −$30 | -74% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$4 | -82% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $16 | +$4 | +26% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $34 | −$25 | -74% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$1 | +14% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 09 | $293 | +$3 | +1% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 09 | $1,218 | −$69 | -6% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $51 | +$36 | +70% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 23 | $914 | −$51 | -6% |
| Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 23 | $20 | −$13 | -64% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | Apr 16 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |