Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T02:14:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5A 0x5aca…b47e crypto 430 markets active 0h ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (401 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$115 (-2%) realized −$115 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR18%break-even
Win rate83%359W / 71L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$15per market
Trades / day400.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$271
other 0% $0
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (401 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-16.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 430 -7.2% -16.0% 83% 18% -13.1%
≤30d 430 -7.2% -16.0% 83% 18% -13.1%
≤90d 430 -7.2% -16.0% 83% 18% -13.1%
all 430 -7.2% -16.0% 83% 18% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover400.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.0% 18% -13.1%
10% ← realistic here -24.0% 6% -21.4%
15% -31.4% 2% -29.0%
20% -38.1% 1% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
77% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -9% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$10 · ×0.12 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.62 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$115
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses359 / 71
Open positions0
Markets (closed)430 / 430
History coverage3d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day400.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 430 Trades
no open positions (44 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$3 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 16 $11 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 16 $19 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 16 $17 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 16 $18 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$9 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 16 $16 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 16 $19 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 16 $18 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $14 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $13 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $12 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 16 $14 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 16 $17 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$6 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $18 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 16 $16 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 16 $17 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $14 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $12 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 16 $18 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 16 $16 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 16 $16 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $12 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $11 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 16 $15 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 16 $14 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 16 $14 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 16 $16 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $18 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $13 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 16 $17 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 16 $18 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 16 $18 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 16 $11 −$8 -73%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $15 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 16 $17 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 16 $17 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 16 $15 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 16 $14 +$1 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $10 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $10 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $6 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 26m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $10 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $0 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $10 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $0 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $0 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 43m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1532 history records