trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 48¢ | 48¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | Yes | 34¢ | 34¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Yes | 27¢ | 26¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Yes | 25¢ | 24¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | Down | 43¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | Up | 13¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$2 | +43% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $5 | +$1 | +24% |
| Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the | May 25 | $6 | +$4 | +54% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | Apr 03 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | Apr 03 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | Apr 03 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | Apr 03 | $1 | $0 | -30% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | Apr 03 | $5 | $0 | -2% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | Apr 03 | $6 | +$5 | +81% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | Mar 25 | $5 | +$3 | +56% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | Mar 24 | $3 | +$1 | +31% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +33.8% | +21.0% | 100% | 100% | +21.1% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +40.5% | +27.1% | 100% | 100% | +28.2% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -3.9% | -13.1% | 55% | 55% | +5.5% |
| all | 11 | -3.9% | -13.1% | 55% | 55% | +5.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.1% | 55% | +5.5% |
| 10% | -21.4% | 55% | -4.6% |
| 15% | -29.0% | 36% | -13.8% |
| 20% | -35.9% | 27% | -22.2% |