trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -44.9% | -50.1% | 31% | 31% | -90.4% |
| all | 16 | +77.0% | +60.2% | 38% | 38% | -77.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +60.2% | 38% | -77.3% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +44.8% | 38% | -79.5% |
| 15% | +30.8% | 31% | -81.4% |
| 20% | +18.0% | 31% | -83.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $116 | $94 | −$23 (-19%) |
| Will Chicago Cubs win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | Yes | 8¢ | 6¢ | $100 | $70 | −$30 (-30%) |
| Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | Yes | 19¢ | 20¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | Jun 12 | $22,347 | −$22,006 | -98% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | Jun 12 | $12,836 | −$12,499 | -97% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? | Jun 07 | $814 | −$790 | -97% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T? | Jun 07 | $417 | −$402 | -96% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T? | Jun 07 | $337 | −$325 | -96% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? | Jun 07 | $600 | −$585 | -98% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? | Jun 07 | $664 | −$645 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | Jun 07 | $205 | −$200 | -98% |
| Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskies | Apr 10 | $1,319 | −$1,319 | -100% |
| Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-20.5) | Mar 21 | $1,000 | +$991 | +99% |
| Spread: BYU Cougars (-2.5) | Mar 20 | $300 | +$297 | +99% |
| Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-2.5) | Mar 20 | $300 | +$274 | +91% |
| Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils | Mar 19 | $947 | +$255 | +27% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)? | Mar 19 | $177 | −$177 | -100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)? | Mar 03 | $309 | +$4,959 | +1607% |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | Feb 28 | $225 | +$696 | +309% |