Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:26:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5A
0x5abb…ea3a
crypto · 67 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$294 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$559 · open +$265
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,812
Realized−$559
Unrealized+$265
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses52 / 14
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)66 / 67
History coverage122d
Avg bet$950
Trades / day2.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 1 History 66 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$28
7 days−$1,032
14 days+$90
30 days−$1,118
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No 85¢ 100¢ $1,548 $1,812 +$265 (+17%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $878 +$8 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $1,001 +$19 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $1,501 +$19 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 10 $600 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 10 $1,310 +$160 +12%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? Jun 10 $5,650 −$1,244 -22%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? Jun 05 $228 +$87 +38%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June? Jun 04 $2,087 +$378 +18%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June? Jun 02 $2,079 +$2 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June? Jun 02 $1,520 +$574 +38%
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May? Jun 01 $1,412 +$82 +6%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May? May 29 $1,945 −$1,083 -56%
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May? May 29 $2,001 +$71 +4%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? May 21 $2,844 −$388 -14%
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May? May 18 $466 +$192 +41%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? May 12 $2,545 +$86 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET May 12 $104 +$21 +20%
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in April? May 01 $1,876 +$64 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? May 01 $2,519 −$100 -4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April? May 01 $87 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Apr 26 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Apr 26 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Apr 25 $22 +$13 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Apr 25 $19 +$9 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Apr 25 $23 +$21 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Apr 25 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Apr 25 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Apr 25 $23 +$11 +46%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April? Apr 23 $1,268 −$23 -2%
Will Solana dip to $70 in April? Apr 23 $1,203 +$84 +7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? Apr 17 $2,362 +$113 +5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? Apr 13 $1,037 −$9 -1%
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? Apr 07 $875 +$89 +10%
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on April 1? Apr 02 $992 +$9 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? Apr 01 $959 +$32 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? Mar 26 $895 +$65 +7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? Mar 20 $834 −$242 -29%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March? Mar 17 $1,073 +$63 +6%
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March? Mar 14 $1,422 +$468 +33%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March? Mar 06 $969 −$301 -31%
Will Solana reach $100 in March? Mar 04 $889 +$17 +2%
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7? Mar 03 $63 $0 +1%
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15? Mar 03 $799 +$9 +1%
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? Mar 03 $16 +$1 +3%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? Mar 03 $878 +$1 +0%
Will Solana dip to $60 in February? Feb 28 $875 +$2 +0%
Will Solana dip to $50 in February? Feb 25 $864 +$11 +1%
Will Solana reach $120 in February? Feb 24 $928 +$9 +1%
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February? Feb 21 $850 +$5 +1%
Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter O Feb 20 $13 +$1 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 84% −$727
world 8% +$9
other 4% +$131
tech 2% +$265
sports 2% +$29
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? BUY No 85¢ $1,557 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $378 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $500 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $501 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $501 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $101 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $101 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $101 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $101 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -0.8% -10.2% 83% 17% -18.1%
≤30d 15 +4.7% -5.3% 80% 33% -13.5%
≤90d 38 -1.4% -10.8% 71% 26% -11.4%
all 66 -1.0% -10.4% 79% 17% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.4% 17% -10.3%
10% -19.0% 12% -18.9%
15% -26.8% 11% -26.8%
20% -34.0% 3% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,812.47 · official $1,794.26 · 384 history records