Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T08:31:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5A 0x5ab3…43ab crypto 438 markets active 0h ago coverage 63d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 62d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (53 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$4,229 (+1%) realized +$4,103 · open +$126
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate91%394W / 39L
Whale WR92%big bets
Drawdown70%max
Avg bet$1,155per market
Trades / day53.0pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$10,567now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 63d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,824
other 0% −$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (53 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 +0.7% -8.9% 87% 0% -9.0%
≤30d 183 -0.5% -10.0% 88% 0% -9.5%
≤90d 433 +0.1% -9.4% 91% 0% -9.2%
all 433 +0.1% -9.4% 91% 0% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover53.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 0% -9.2%
10% -18.1% 0% -17.9%
15% ← realistic here -26.0% 0% -25.8%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 92% (≥$1,659) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +1% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$12 vs −$82 · ×0.15 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.54 per $1 lost it wins $1.54
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

63d coverage
Net worth$10,567
Realized+$4,103
Unrealized+$126
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses394 / 39
Whale WR (big bets)92%
Open positions5
Markets (closed)433 / 438
History coverage63d ⚠
Avg bet$1,155
Trades / day53.0
Drawdown70%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 5 History 433 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 23? No 98¢ 100¢ $3,338 $3,385 +$47 (+1%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 24? No 98¢ 99¢ $2,981 $3,014 +$33 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 24? No 99¢ 99¢ $2,320 $2,338 +$18 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 24? No 97¢ 99¢ $994 $1,006 +$12 (+1%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 23? No 98¢ 100¢ $808 $824 +$15 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 1 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 23? Jun 23 $944 −$12 -1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 23? Jun 23 $678 +$7 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 23? Jun 23 $2,974 +$10 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 23? Jun 23 $289 +$1 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 22? Jun 23 $597 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 22? Jun 22 $9,551 +$36 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 22? Jun 22 $297 +$3 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 22? Jun 22 $89 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 15-21? Jun 22 $2,362 +$18 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 15-21? Jun 22 $775 +$2 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 15-21? Jun 22 $2,948 +$23 +1%
Will Solana dip to $60 June 15-21? Jun 21 $3,054 +$33 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 21? Jun 21 $1,087 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 21? Jun 21 $1,337 +$10 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 21? Jun 21 $1,270 +$8 +1%
Will Solana reach $75 on June 20? Jun 21 $115 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 20? Jun 20 $1,211 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 20? Jun 20 $658 +$5 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 20? Jun 20 $1,303 +$30 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 19? Jun 20 $1,859 +$18 +1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 19? Jun 20 $1,222 +$12 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 19? Jun 20 $29 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 19? Jun 19 $1,679 +$20 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 19? Jun 19 $4,920 +$55 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 19? Jun 19 $1,605 +$38 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 19? Jun 19 $2,501 +$9 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18? Jun 18 $1,817 +$15 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 18? Jun 18 $8,486 −$25 -0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $124 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 17? Jun 17 $3,133 +$54 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 18? Jun 17 $1,706 −$1 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? Jun 17 $2,265 −$5 -0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 18? Jun 17 $60 $0 -0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 18? Jun 17 $736 +$4 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 17? Jun 17 $252 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $2,983 +$45 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $501 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 18? Jun 17 $198 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? Jun 16 $1,263 +$7 +1%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 16? Jun 16 $93 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 June 8-14? Jun 15 $10,159 +$67 +1%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $10,509 −$360 -3%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 12? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 10? Jun 11 $633 +$12 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $1,122 +$19 +2%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,450 on June 10? Jun 10 $100 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $5,552 +$39 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $612 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 10? Jun 10 $3,858 +$35 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $934 +$6 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 24? BUY No 98¢ $147 17m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 24? BUY No 98¢ $98 18m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 24? BUY No 98¢ $98 18m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 24? BUY No 98¢ $98 18m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 24? BUY No 97¢ $98 20m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 24? BUY No 97¢ $97 20m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 24? BUY No 97¢ $97 20m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 23? SELL Yes 98¢ $119 21m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 23? SELL Yes 98¢ $106 21m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 23? SELL Yes 98¢ $263 22m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 23? SELL Yes 98¢ $444 23m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 23? SELL No 100¢ $12 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 24? BUY No 98¢ $2,201 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 24? BUY No 98¢ $784 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 23? SELL No 100¢ $2,985 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 24? BUY No 97¢ $214 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 24? BUY No 97¢ $49 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 23? SELL No 100¢ $30 2h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 23? SELL No 100¢ $6 2h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 23? SELL No 100¢ $10 2h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 23? SELL No 100¢ $10 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 23? SELL No 100¢ $30 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 23? SELL No 100¢ $11 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 23? BUY No 99¢ $1,001 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 23? SELL No 100¢ $165 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 23? BUY No 99¢ $298 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 23? SELL No 100¢ $25 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 23? SELL No 100¢ $385 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 23? SELL No 100¢ $290 4h
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 22? SELL No 100¢ $207 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10,566.81 · official $10,566.30 (match) · 3500 history records