Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:46:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5A
0x5aa9…febe
sports · 38 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$80,826 +44%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$18,143 · open −$391
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$75,046
Realized+$18,143
Unrealized−$391
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses13 / 41
Whale WR (big bets)64%
Est. fees paid−$3,035
Open positions11
Markets (closed)54 / 38
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4,844
Trades / day3479.0
Drawdown25%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 11 History 54 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$18,143
7 days+$18,143
14 days+$18,143
30 days+$18,143
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 35¢ 62¢ $15,393 $27,206 +$11,813 (+77%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner T1 42¢ 100¢ $9,806 $23,062 +$13,256 (+135%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 80¢ 82¢ $11,074 $11,383 +$309 (+3%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner T1 59¢ 100¢ $2,466 $4,182 +$1,715 (+70%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Bilibili Gaming 69¢ 100¢ $2,042 $2,946 +$903 (+44%)
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers Doosan Bears 67¢ 80¢ $1,946 $2,309 +$363 (+19%)
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions SSG Landers 45¢ 30¢ $2,521 $1,642 −$879 (-35%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 60¢ 64¢ $1,009 $1,089 +$79 (+8%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Top Esports 38¢ 36¢ $617 $570 −$48 (-8%)
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins LG Twins 46¢ 39¢ $430 $367 −$63 (-15%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Bilibili Gaming 61¢ 60¢ $250 $248 −$2 (-1%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 64¢ 38¢ $60 $35 −$25 (-41%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Top Esports 23¢ 0¢ $558 $1 −$556 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 57¢ 0¢ $1,204 $1 −$1,203 (-100%)
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kiwoom Heroes NC Dinos 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+93%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? No 88¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+14%)
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Hanwha Eagles Hanwha Eagles 85¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 85¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Yes 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. KT Wiz KT Wiz 75¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+33%)
Spread: Australia (-1.5) Australia 70¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+42%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 91¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+10%)
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins Lotte Giants 33¢ 61¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+85%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Kiwoom Heroes 59¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+70%)
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins LG Twins 36¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+177%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 14 $25 −$23 -92%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 +$661 +99605%
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Hanwha Eagles Jun 14 $118 −$114 -97%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 14 $4 +$63 +1806%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 14 $158 −$160 -101%
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. KT Wiz Jun 14 $53 −$39 -74%
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins Jun 14 $144 −$175 -122%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Mas Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 14 $0 −$370 -170727%
Will CDPJuniorFC win on 2026-06-08? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -86%
LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-10.5) Jun 14 $60 −$60 -100%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO3) - Esports World Cup South Ame Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Olimpia Milano vs. Reyer Venezia Jun 14 $29 −$31 -106%
Barcelona vs. La Laguna Tenerife Jun 14 $92 −$88 -96%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs PCIFIC (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $220 −$220 -100%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $296 −$310 -105%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $191 −$191 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $89 −$89 -101%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $308 −$308 -100%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $75 −$75 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $7,754 −$3,582 -46%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $728 +$186 +26%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $3,507 +$1,443 +41%
Spread: Australia (-2.5) Jun 14 $3,612 +$183 +5%
Spread: Australia (-1.5) Jun 14 $598 −$45 -7%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $8,929 −$437 -5%
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Jun 14 $13 −$11 -87%
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5) Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) Jun 14 $2,022 +$574 +28%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5 Jun 14 $1,083 −$200 -18%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5 Jun 14 $2,652 +$1,321 +50%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 14 $7,243 +$1,162 +16%
Spread: Knicks (-5.5) Jun 14 $100 −$7 -7%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5 Jun 14 $54 −$34 -64%
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) Jun 14 $7,896 +$6,604 +84%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5 Jun 14 $2,901 −$2,677 -92%
Spread: Knicks (-9.5) Jun 14 $72 +$2 +3%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 14 $1,356 −$264 -20%
Spread: Knicks (-12.5) Jun 14 $182 −$51 -28%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Jun 14 $5,204 +$3,973 +76%
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) Jun 14 $5,710 +$5,010 +88%
Spread: Knicks (-14.5) Jun 14 $109 −$34 -32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% +$19,622
other 5% −$250
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 61¢ $78 1m
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions BUY SSG Landers 38¢ $1 1m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 61¢ $139 1m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 61¢ $5 1m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 61¢ $4 1m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 75¢ $7 1m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 76¢ $5 2m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 88¢ $9 3m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 67¢ $101 4m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 65¢ $144 4m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 65¢ $9 4m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 64¢ $156 4m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 62¢ $238 5m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Top Esports 9¢ $7 5m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 61¢ $30 7m
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions BUY SSG Landers 45¢ $21 9m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 62¢ $3 10m
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions SELL SSG Landers 39¢ $41 11m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 88¢ $88 12m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 90¢ $24 12m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 88¢ $107 12m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 88¢ $126 12m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 88¢ $13 12m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Top Esports 11¢ $53 12m
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins BUY LG Twins 49¢ $38 12m
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins BUY LG Twins 49¢ $34 12m
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins BUY LG Twins 49¢ $5 12m
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins BUY LG Twins 51¢ $12 12m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 88¢ $41 12m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 12¢ $3 13m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)+6.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 +17.7% +6.5% 24% 20% +4.9%
≤30d 54 +17.7% +6.5% 24% 20% +4.9%
≤90d 54 +17.7% +6.5% 24% 20% +4.9%
all 54 +17.7% +6.5% 24% 20% +4.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3479.0 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +6.5% 20% +4.9%
10% -3.7% 19% -5.2%
15% ← realistic here -13.0% 15% -14.3%
20% -21.5% 11% -22.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $75,046.07 · official $75,040.27 (match) · 3500 history records