Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:31:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5A
0x5aa4…2cfb
other · 271 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$85 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$85 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$85
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)5%
Wins / losses14 / 257
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)271 / 271
Avg bet$198
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit64%
Chart Positions 0 History 271 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$14
14 days−$25
30 days−$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 12 $232 −$1 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $233 $0 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 11 $383 $0 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 11 $131 $0 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 11 $253 −$1 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $291 −$1 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $392 −$1 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 10 $335 $0 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 10 $509 −$1 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $575 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $150 $0 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $395 $0 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 08 $300 −$1 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $884 −$1 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 08 $212 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 08 $67 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 08 $537 −$2 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $338 $0 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $459 −$1 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 06 $503 −$1 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 06 $67 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $347 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $447 −$1 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $239 $0 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $491 −$1 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $374 −$1 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 04 $368 −$1 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 04 $227 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $323 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $426 $0 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $381 −$1 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 03 $524 −$1 -0%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 02 $295 $0 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 02 $247 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 02 $319 −$1 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $915 −$1 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 01 $144 $0 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 01 $447 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 01 $320 −$1 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? May 31 $496 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 30 $145 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? May 29 $542 −$1 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 29 $160 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 29 $431 −$1 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 28 $550 −$1 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? May 28 $274 $0 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 27 $346 $0 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 27 $165 $0 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 26 $849 −$2 -0%
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 26 $194 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 46% −$38
sports 24% −$17
politics 7% −$5
economics 6% −$8
crypto 6% −$5
culture 5% −$6
world 3% −$4
tech 2% −$2
finance 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 97¢ $20 1h
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 97¢ $7 3h
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 97¢ $27 5h
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $65 7h
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $65 10h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $65 17h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $65 19h
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $65 20h
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 99¢ $65 22h
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $65 23h
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $65 24h
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $20 26h
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $20 28h
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $65 30h
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 99¢ $65 31h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $65 33h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $66 35h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $66 40h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $66 42h
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $66 44h
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $66 46h
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $66 2d
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $66 2d
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $66 2d
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $66 2d
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $66 3d
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $66 3d
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $66 3d
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $66 3d
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $66 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 69 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 181 -0.1% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
all 271 -0.2% -9.7% 5% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1458 history records