trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 24 | +7.0% | -3.2% | 100% | 21% | -7.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -3.2% | 21% | -7.9% |
| 10% | -12.4% | 8% | -16.8% |
| 15% | -20.9% | 4% | -24.8% |
| 20% | -28.7% | 4% | -32.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $179 | $179 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $100 | $100 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May | Jun 01 | $279 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $60 on May 10? | May 11 | $278 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on April 25? | Apr 28 | $116 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on April 25? | Apr 28 | $163 | $0 | +0% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 20 | $278 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 10? | Apr 10 | $278 | $0 | +0% |
| Cavaliers vs. Lakers | Apr 01 | $277 | $0 | +0% |
| Clippers vs. Pelicans | Mar 19 | $30 | +$27 | +89% |
| Jazz vs. Timberwolves | Mar 19 | $50 | +$7 | +14% |
| Warriors vs. Celtics | Mar 19 | $50 | +$8 | +16% |
| Hawks vs. Mavericks | Mar 19 | $50 | +$16 | +32% |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 2 above $50? | Mar 07 | $1,325 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 23 above $6.50? | Feb 28 | $540 | +$5 | +1% |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 23 above $7.50? | Feb 28 | $778 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 16 above $215? | Feb 21 | $1,317 | +$1 | +0% |
| Nuggets vs. Bulls | Feb 08 | $1,414 | +$3 | +0% |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $20 end of January? | Jan 31 | $1,412 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 29 | $1,121 | +$133 | +12% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 9? | Jan 10 | $1,277 | +$3 | +0% |
| Pump.fun all time high by December 31? | Jan 02 | $48 | +$1 | +1% |
| Aster all time high by December 31? | Jan 02 | $106 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | Jan 02 | $152 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $500 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $413 | +$1 | +0% |