Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:12:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5A
0x5aa3…a630
crypto · 4 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses1 / 2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)3 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day7.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit50%
Chart Positions 1 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $5 $0 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 77% $0
crypto 23% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 1h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 10¢ $5 1h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-41.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -34.9% -41.1% 33% 0% -35.6%
≤30d 3 -34.9% -41.1% 33% 0% -35.6%
≤90d 3 -34.9% -41.1% 33% 0% -35.6%
all 3 -34.9% -41.1% 33% 0% -35.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -41.1% 0% -35.6%
10% -46.7% 0% -41.8%
15% -51.9% 0% -47.4%
20% -56.6% 0% -52.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.34 · official $5.34 (match) · 7 history records