Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:59:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5A 0x5a9f…8a8c crypto 485 markets active 3d ago coverage 5d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (99 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$26 (+3%) realized +$26 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR54%break-even
Win rate54%260W / 225L
Drawdown91%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day99.1pace
Kalshi-fit91%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 91% −$6
other 9% +$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (99 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 325 -2.0% -11.3% 53% 53% -9.8%
≤30d 485 -0.2% -9.7% 54% 54% -8.2%
≤90d 485 -0.2% -9.7% 54% 54% -8.2%
all 485 -0.2% -9.7% 54% 54% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover99.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 54% -8.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 54% -17.0%
15% -26.2% 54% -25.0%
20% -33.5% 53% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +2% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +10% → late -10% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.89 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.03 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$26
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses260 / 225
Open positions0
Markets (closed)485 / 485
History coverage5d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day99.1
Drawdown91%
Kalshi-fit91%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 485 Trades
no open positions (205 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +93%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +86%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +83%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +83%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +86%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +83%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +86%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 785 history records