Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:17:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5A
0x5a88…f471
weather · 186 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$121 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$113 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$60
Realized−$113
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses63 / 120
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)183 / 186
Avg bet$36
Trades / day21.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 183 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$64
7 days−$30
14 days−$15
30 days−$144
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12? Yes 42¢ 40¢ $41 $38 −$2 (-6%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? Yes 13¢ 10¢ $22 $16 −$6 (-27%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+16%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 28? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 30? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 3? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 5? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 30? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 2? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 22? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 4? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 14? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 20? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 5? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 30? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 1? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 5? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 4? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 29? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 23? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 4? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 8? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 3? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $86 $0 −$86 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 7? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 23? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 11? Jun 11 $36 −$20 -54%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11? Jun 11 $45 −$4 -8%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10? Jun 10 $137 +$92 +67%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10? Jun 10 $35 +$1 +2%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 +$1 +14%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 10? Jun 10 $40 −$6 -15%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 9? Jun 09 $30 −$6 -20%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 9? Jun 09 $25 −$3 -12%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 9? Jun 09 $54 −$54 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8? Jun 08 $45 +$65 +146%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 8? Jun 08 $68 −$2 -3%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 7? Jun 07 $135 −$57 -42%
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 7? Jun 07 $45 −$33 -73%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 6? Jun 06 $47 −$47 -99%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 6? Jun 06 $57 −$3 -6%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5? Jun 05 $85 +$71 +84%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 5? Jun 05 $19 −$19 -99%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 5? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 5? Jun 05 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 4? Jun 04 $69 +$47 +67%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 4? Jun 04 $6 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 4? Jun 04 $84 −$2 -2%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 4? Jun 04 $41 −$3 -7%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 3? Jun 04 $4 +$11 +300%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 03 $22 +$1 +5%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 3? Jun 03 $58 −$56 -97%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 2? Jun 03 $28 +$100 +361%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 2? Jun 02 $29 −$28 -97%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 2? Jun 02 $2 +$3 +130%
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 30? May 30 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 30? May 30 $43 −$42 -97%
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 30? May 30 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 29? May 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29? May 29 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 28? May 28 $54 −$52 -97%
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28? May 28 $104 −$60 -58%
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28? May 28 $4 −$4 -92%
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 28? May 28 $42 −$22 -53%
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 28? May 28 $1 $0 -18%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27? May 28 $6 +$33 +509%
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27? May 27 $66 −$15 -23%
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26? May 27 $4 +$5 +138%
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on May 26? May 26 $39 +$13 +32%
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25? May 25 $20 +$7 +33%
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 25? May 25 $65 −$36 -56%
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 25? May 25 $20 −$6 -30%
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C or higher on May 24? May 24 $5 −$2 -52%
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 24? May 24 $47 −$34 -73%
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 24? May 24 $17 +$1 +6%
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 24? May 24 $31 −$5 -15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% −$122
sports 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12? BUY Yes 42¢ $24 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12? BUY Yes 42¢ $18 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? BUY Yes 13¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? BUY Yes 13¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? BUY Yes 13¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? BUY Yes 13¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? BUY Yes 13¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 11? SELL Yes 39¢ $15 20h
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11? SELL Yes 45¢ $22 21h
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 11? BUY Yes 24¢ $7 23h
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11? SELL Yes 40¢ $19 23h
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 11? BUY Yes 21¢ $4 23h
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11? BUY Yes 45¢ $2 25h
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11? BUY Yes 45¢ $6 25h
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11? BUY Yes 45¢ $15 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -31.8% -38.3% 26% 21% -8.6%
≤30d 71 -8.8% -17.5% 31% 24% -11.4%
≤90d 182 +0.3% -9.2% 35% 30% -8.2%
all 183 +0.2% -9.3% 34% 30% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 30% -8.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 27% -17.0%
15% -25.9% 23% -25.0%
20% -33.2% 22% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $60.08 · official $60.08 (match) · 2054 history records