Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:29:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5A
0x5a84…959b
crypto · 256 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$609 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$609 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$609
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses135 / 121
Open positions0
Markets (closed)256 / 256
History coverage4d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day170.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 256 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$562
7 days−$609
14 days−$609
30 days−$609
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $136 $0 −$136 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $54 −$51 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$11 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$3 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $47 −$46 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $179 −$26 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$11 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $97 +$80 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $63 −$60 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $38 −$36 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$609
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $54 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $54 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $140 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $7 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 256 -10.4% -18.9% 53% 35% -14.2%
≤30d 256 -10.4% -18.9% 53% 35% -14.2%
≤90d 256 -10.4% -18.9% 53% 35% -14.2%
all 256 -10.4% -18.9% 53% 35% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover170.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.9% 35% -14.2%
10% ← realistic here -26.7% 25% -22.4%
15% -33.8% 18% -29.9%
20% -40.2% 13% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 852 history records