trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 8 | -5.1% | -14.1% | 0% | 0% | -12.8% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 18% | 18% | -10.6% |
| all | 17 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 18% | 18% | -10.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -9.4% | 18% | -10.6% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -18.1% | 12% | -19.2% |
| 15% | -26.0% | 12% | -27.0% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 6% | -34.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 54¢ | 60¢ | $1,392 | $1,562 | +$170 (+12%) |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 45¢ | 40¢ | $1,167 | $1,020 | −$147 (-13%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? | Jun 10 | $4,080 | −$347 | -8% |
| Worst Cup: Fakers FC vs. Infamous FC | Jun 08 | $1,000 | $0 | +0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? | Jun 05 | $1,500 | −$30 | -2% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? | Jun 03 | $1,259 | −$58 | -5% |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score | May 30 | $21 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | May 29 | $20 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 27 | $119 | −$23 | -19% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | May 25 | $7,777 | −$112 | -1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | May 20 | $40,771 | −$97 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 05 | $522 | −$26 | -5% |
| Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026? | May 04 | $7 | −$1 | -11% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | May 02 | $7 | +$3 | +36% |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Co | May 02 | $4 | $0 | +11% |
| Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April? | May 02 | $3 | +$2 | +54% |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | May 02 | $113 | −$1 | -1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Apr 27 | $1 | $0 | -38% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Apr 25 | $51 | −$1 | -2% |